Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.94u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.34
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.74u
Won
+1.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
57.0%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.488
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.519
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
1.05u
Won
+1.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
1.88
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
57.4%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
61.2%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.21
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
1.86
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
1.88
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
56.8%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.75u
Won
+1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.13
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.58u
Won
+1.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.48
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.66
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.689
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.37
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.535
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.32
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.37
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.39
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.