Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.57
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
3.26
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
0.83u
Lost
-0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
3.24
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.498
Stake
0.91u
Won
+2.04u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.21
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.37
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.557
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.300
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.11
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.441
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.94
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.29
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.21
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.78
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.551
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.04u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.67
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.69
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.589
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.424
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.04
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.73
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.578
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.78
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.584
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.34
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.81u
Won
+1.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.98
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
4.22
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.646
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.681
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.47
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.583
Stake
1.27u
Won
+3.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.47
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.436
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.74u
Won
+1.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.46
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.