Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.69u
Won
+1.04u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.95u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
56.8%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.22
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.82u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
0.90u
Won
+2.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.17
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.86
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
0.37u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.37
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.29
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.595
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.334
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.23
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.