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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.83u
Won +1.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.74u
Won +1.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.22
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.83u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.99
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.66u
Won +1.25u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.52u
Won +0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.91
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.97
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.56u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.