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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 14, 2026 8:01 PM EDT

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Result championship
Watford Watford
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
Result championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Norwich City Norwich City
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.602
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Blackpool Blackpool
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.718
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Burnley Burnley
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.16u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Sheffield United Sheffield United
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.95u
Won +1.81u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.497
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.90u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Reading Reading
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.601
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Birmingham City Birmingham City
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Norwich City Norwich City
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.646
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.12u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Millwall Millwall
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Preston North End Preston North End
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.77u
Result championship
Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.10u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Burnley Burnley
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Rotherham United Rotherham United
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.68u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Reading Reading
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Millwall Millwall
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.445
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Birmingham City Birmingham City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Norwich City Norwich City
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Coventry City Coventry City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.91u
Won +2.50u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Watford Watford
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
14.9%
EV/u
1.454
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Sunderland Sunderland
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
1.274
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
8.5%
EV/u
1.483
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Luton Town Luton Town
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Sheffield United Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
7.6%
EV/u
1.250
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.677
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
19.9%
EV/u
0.571
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Coventry City Coventry City
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
22.1%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.66u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Cardiff City Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
14.6%
EV/u
0.629
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Burnley Burnley
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
18.1%
EV/u
0.734
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.88u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Sunderland Sunderland
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.495
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Sheffield United Sheffield United
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.60u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Blackpool Blackpool
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.814
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Birmingham City Birmingham City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.878
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.80u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Coventry City Coventry City
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Burnley Burnley
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.83u
Lost -0.83u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.78u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.754
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Hull City Hull City
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.666
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.00u
Result championship
Burnley Burnley
Millwall Millwall
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.782
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Coventry City Coventry City
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.498
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.36u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Sheffield United Sheffield United
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Cardiff City Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.86u
Lost -0.86u
Result championship
Burnley Burnley
Blackpool Blackpool
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
20.1%
EV/u
1.715
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.88u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
61.3%
EV/u
1.299
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Cardiff City Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.761
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.36u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.760
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.57u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Millwall Millwall
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
76.2%
EV/u
0.943
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Burnley Burnley
Hull City Hull City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
23.7%
EV/u
1.745
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.12u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Sheffield United Sheffield United
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.667
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Blackpool Blackpool
Swansea City Swansea City
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.637
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.72u
Result championship
Sunderland Sunderland
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.822
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.88u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Burnley Burnley
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Watford Watford
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.71u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Watford Watford
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Blackpool Blackpool
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.605
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Hull City Hull City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Blackpool Blackpool
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.666
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
29.5%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Sheffield United Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Sheffield United Sheffield United
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
Result championship
Sunderland Sunderland
Coventry City Coventry City
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
27.8%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Norwich City Norwich City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.90u
Lost -0.90u
Result championship
Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Swansea City Swansea City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.495
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.00u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Norwich City Norwich City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.485
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Burnley Burnley
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.75u
Lost -0.75u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Sheffield United Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
Result championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
1.239
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.36u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.606
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Millwall Millwall
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
27.1%
EV/u
0.947
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
1.454
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Luton Town Luton Town
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Hull City Hull City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.505
Stake
1.16u
Won +4.06u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Sheffield United Sheffield United
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
27.1%
EV/u
0.972
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Cardiff City Cardiff City
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.660
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Blackpool Blackpool
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.28u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Bristol City Bristol City
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.591
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Millwall Millwall
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
23.4%
EV/u
1.014
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.88u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Barnsley Barnsley
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City Stoke City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.20u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Luton Town Luton Town
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.589
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Blackpool Blackpool
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
1.009
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.50u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.633
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Coventry City Coventry City
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Barnsley Barnsley
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Coventry City Coventry City
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
1.08u
Won +2.48u
Result championship
Peterborough United Peterborough United
Luton Town Luton Town
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.717
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.