Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
18.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
18.4%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.48u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
18.5%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
16.6%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.33u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
16.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.35u
First inning result
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
15.6%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.56u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
19.5%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
1.67
Prob
14.8%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
16.7%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.34u
First inning result
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
16.2%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.37u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
19.2%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
15.2%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.38u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
18.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.82u
Lost
-0.82u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
13.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.94u
Lost
-0.94u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
15.8%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
15.0%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First inning result
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
17.8%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
14.6%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First inning result
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
13.5%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.26u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
13.7%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.86u
Won
+0.66u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
15.9%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First inning result
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
1.56
Prob
13.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.24u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.65
Prob
13.1%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
13.0%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.55u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
15.6%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.26u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
16.4%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.43u
First inning result
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
19.2%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.46u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
13.8%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.46u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
17.6%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
14.3%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
17.0%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.57u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
15.3%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.38u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
13.8%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.59u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
21.5%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
25.4%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
First inning result
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
20.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
First inning result
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
24.0%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
1.16u
Won
+1.22u
First inning result
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
23.1%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.52u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
18.8%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First inning result
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
23.2%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.414
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.98u
First inning result
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
22.6%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.83u
Lost
-0.83u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
17.7%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.23u
First inning result
mlb
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
17.6%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First inning result
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
17.2%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
15.4%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.31u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
16.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
14.0%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
17.4%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
17.2%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.24u
First inning result
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
16.7%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.34u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
18.2%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.21u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
18.9%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.24u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
18.6%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.31u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
14.9%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.95
Prob
20.2%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
20.9%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
20.7%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
16.6%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
15.1%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.24u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
19.5%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
12.6%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First inning result
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
1.63
Prob
15.0%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First inning result
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
18.3%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.26u
First inning result
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
12.8%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
17.2%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.28u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
20.3%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.22u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
14.4%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.31u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
16.0%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.65
Prob
16.5%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.16u
First inning result
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
17.1%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
20.1%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.67
Prob
17.9%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
19.4%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.36u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
17.1%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
18.6%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
18.8%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
13.0%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
19.6%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
13.3%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.26u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
17.2%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
15.7%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.28u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
16.3%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
20.8%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
14.0%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
16.5%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
16.6%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.28u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
14.8%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.24u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
16.5%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.27u
First inning result
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.67
Prob
15.0%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.23u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
1.67
Prob
15.9%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.22u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
14.6%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.27u
First inning result
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
1.65
Prob
16.6%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.17u
First inning result
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
1.63
Prob
15.0%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.21u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
18.6%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
16.1%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
22.1%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
16.7%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
22.2%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.