Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 7:51 PM EDT
Home win
college-football
Portland State Vikings
Idaho State Bengals
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
1.551
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.84u
Home win
college-football
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Austin Peay Governors
home
Odds
3.78
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
1.033
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
college-football
Howard Bison
Norfolk State Spartans
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
1.188
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Home win
college-football
Northern Illinois Huskies
Eastern Michigan Eagles
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
1.334
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Home win
college-football
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
1.078
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
college-football
Navy Midshipmen
Air Force Falcons
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
1.058
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
college-football
Alabama Crimson Tide
Tennessee Volunteers
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
1.054
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
college-football
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Rice Owls
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.53u
Total over
college-football
Morgan State Bears
North Carolina Central Eagles
under
Odds
1.87
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.56u
Total over
college-football
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Rice Owls
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.62u
Total over
college-football
Marshall Thundering Herd
James Madison Dukes
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.62u
Total over
college-football
UTEP Miners
New Mexico State Aggies
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.99u
Lost
-0.99u
Home win
college-football
Sam Houston Bearkats
Florida International Panthers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
1.16u
Won
+1.97u
Home win
college-football
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.687
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.42u
Total over
college-football
South Alabama Jaguars
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
1.08u
Lost
-1.08u
Total over
college-football
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
USC Trojans
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Total over
college-football
North Texas Mean Green
Temple Owls
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.21u
Total over
college-football
Charlotte 49ers
Navy Midshipmen
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.21u
Total over
college-football
Washington State Cougars
Arizona Wildcats
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.766
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.24u
Total over
college-football
Ball State Cardinals
Toledo Rockets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.21u
Total over
college-football
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
Texas Southern Tigers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Total over
college-football
Dayton Flyers
Presbyterian Blue Hose
under
Odds
2.00
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.32u
Total over
college-football
Texas State Bobcats
UL Monroe Warhawks
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.23u
Home win
college-football
Stony Brook Seawolves
Fordham Rams
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
1.210
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
college-football
Rhode Island Rams
Richmond Spiders
away
Odds
3.78
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
1.000
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.83u
Home win
college-football
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
Eastern Illinois Panthers
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
1.562
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
college-football
Colgate Raiders
Dartmouth Big Green
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
1.070
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.68u
Home win
college-football
Idaho State Bengals
Eastern Washington Eagles
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
1.670
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.88u
Home win
college-football
Maine Black Bears
Long Island University Sharks
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
1.058
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
college-football
Air Force Falcons
Wyoming Cowboys
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
1.353
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
college-football
Colorado State Rams
Boise State Broncos
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.927
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.78u
Home win
college-football
Colorado Buffaloes
Stanford Cardinal
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
1.513
Stake
0.60u
Won
+2.40u
Home win
college-football
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Wagner Seahawks
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
1.348
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Total over
college-football
Houston Cougars
West Virginia Mountaineers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Total over
college-football
New Mexico State Aggies
Sam Houston Bearkats
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.89u
Won
+0.81u
Home win
college-football
Florida International Panthers
UTEP Miners
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.92u
Won
+1.40u
Home win
college-football
Appalachian State Mountaineers
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.92u
Won
+1.45u
Home win
college-football
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
away
Odds
2.26
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
college-football
Wisconsin Badgers
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
1.360
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
college-football
North Carolina Tar Heels
Syracuse Orange
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
1.030
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
college-football
Miami (OH) RedHawks
Bowling Green Falcons
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.877
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
college-football
Weber State Wildcats
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.950
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.86u
Home win
college-football
Wofford Terriers
Samford Bulldogs
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
1.314
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
college-football
Rice Owls
UConn Huskies
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.960
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.86u
Home win
college-football
Ole Miss Rebels
Arkansas Razorbacks
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
1.332
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
college-football
Georgia Bulldogs
Kentucky Wildcats
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
1.546
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Total over
college-football
Kennesaw State Owls
Tennessee State Tigers
under
Odds
1.87
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Total over
college-football
Youngstown State Penguins
Southern Illinois Salukis
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.19u
Total over
college-football
Lamar Cardinals
Northwestern State Demons
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.29u
Total over
college-football
Weber State Wildcats
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.29u
Total over
college-football
Utah Tech Trailblazers
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
under
Odds
1.83
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.11u
Total over
college-football
Miami (OH) RedHawks
Bowling Green Falcons
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.29u
Total over
college-football
Florida Atlantic Owls
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.19u
Total over
college-football
Massachusetts Minutemen
Toledo Rockets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Total over
college-football
Illinois Fighting Illini
Nebraska Cornhuskers
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.95u
Won
+0.90u
Home win
college-football
Harvard Crimson
Cornell Big Red
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
1.528
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home win
college-football
Illinois Fighting Illini
Nebraska Cornhuskers
away
Odds
2.26
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.59u
Total over
college-football
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
Home win
college-football
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
away
Odds
2.18
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.41u
Home win
college-football
New Mexico State Aggies
Florida International Panthers
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
1.27u
Lost
-1.27u
Home win
college-football
California Golden Bears
Arizona State Sun Devils
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
1.344
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Toledo Rockets
Northern Illinois Huskies
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
1.516
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
UNLV Rebels
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
1.124
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Brown Bears
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
1.547
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Southern Illinois Salukis
Missouri State Bears
away
Odds
4.45
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
1.231
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Tennessee Volunteers
South Carolina Gamecocks
away
Odds
4.45
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
1.234
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Rhode Island Rams
Bryant Bulldogs
away
Odds
4.45
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
1.227
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Richmond Spiders
Hampton Pirates
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
1.516
Stake
0.25u
Won
+1.00u
Total over
college-football
The Citadel Bulldogs
Western Carolina Catamounts
over
Odds
1.95
Prob
65.4%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.23u
Total over
college-football
Stonehill Skyhawks
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.26u
Total over
college-football
Kent State Golden Flashes
Miami (OH) RedHawks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.24u
Total over
college-football
Memphis Tigers
Boise State Broncos
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Total over
college-football
Rice Owls
East Carolina Pirates
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.2%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Total over
college-football
Ole Miss Rebels
LSU Tigers
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.2%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.22u
Total over
college-football
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.2%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.22u
Total over
college-football
Maryland Terrapins
Indiana Hoosiers
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.2%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.22u
Home win
college-football
BYU Cougars
Cincinnati Bearcats
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.28u
Home win
college-football
UTEP Miners
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
62.0%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Home win
college-football
NC State Wolfpack
Louisville Cardinals
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.570
Stake
0.97u
Lost
-0.97u
Home win
college-football
Sam Houston Bearkats
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.984
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home win
college-football
Stanford Cardinal
Arizona Wildcats
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
62.3%
EV/u
1.866
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Cincinnati Bearcats
Oklahoma Sooners
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
62.5%
EV/u
2.124
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Bowling Green Falcons
Ohio Bobcats
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
1.868
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Wagner Seahawks
Merrimack Warriors
home
Odds
4.45
Prob
62.5%
EV/u
1.783
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.86u
Home win
college-football
Bucknell Bison
Pennsylvania Quakers
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
1.884
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Vanderbilt Commodores
Kentucky Wildcats
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
62.2%
EV/u
2.112
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
North Alabama Lions
UT Martin Skyhawks
home
Odds
4.28
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
1.671
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
college-football
Northwestern Wildcats
Minnesota Golden Gophers
home
Odds
4.45
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
1.777
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.86u
Total over
college-football
Michigan Wolverines
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.47u
Total over
college-football
Alabama Crimson Tide
Ole Miss Rebels
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.50u
Home win
college-football
San Diego State Aztecs
Boise State Broncos
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
0.601
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Home win
college-football
Virginia Cavaliers
NC State Wolfpack
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
1.310
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
college-football
Purdue Boilermakers
Wisconsin Badgers
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
0.780
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home win
college-football
San José State Spartans
Air Force Falcons
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
62.5%
EV/u
0.918
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home win
college-football
Eastern Illinois Panthers
Illinois State Redbirds
home
Odds
4.45
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
1.844
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.72u
Home win
college-football
Colgate Raiders
Pennsylvania Quakers
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
62.8%
EV/u
1.417
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
college-football
Tennessee State Tigers
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
1.609
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.65u
Home win
college-football
Northwestern State Demons
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
home
Odds
4.25
Prob
63.0%
EV/u
1.676
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Home win
college-football
Marist Red Foxes
Davidson Wildcats
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
63.5%
EV/u
1.285
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
college-football
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Tulane Green Wave
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
1.258
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.