Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 5:16 PM EDT
First inning result
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
27.2%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.44u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
Dallas Wings
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
66.8%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.55u
Home win
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Minnesota Lynx
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
64.3%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.81u
Won
+1.94u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First inning result
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
22.8%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.65u
Home win
wnba
New York Liberty
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
1.51
Prob
67.6%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
1.03u
Won
+0.53u
First inning result
mlb
Athletics
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
1.95
Prob
19.7%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
18.4%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.42u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
22.1%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.68u
Home win
wnba
Indiana Fever
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
62.9%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.80u
Won
+1.36u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
21.5%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Athletics
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
21.8%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.95u
Won
+1.00u
Home win
wnba
Golden State Valkyries
Seattle Storm
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
62.5%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.76u
Won
+1.33u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
Washington Mystics
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
67.2%
EV/u
0.485
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.75u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
Indiana Fever
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
72.2%
EV/u
0.356
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Home win
wnba
Atlanta Dream
Minnesota Lynx
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
73.8%
EV/u
0.460
Stake
0.88u
Lost
-0.88u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
2.20
Prob
22.5%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
1.04u
Won
+1.25u
First inning result
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
29.9%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.95
Prob
19.6%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.67u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
2.10
Prob
22.7%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.95u
Lost
-0.95u
First inning result
mlb
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
Atlanta Dream
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
63.7%
EV/u
0.427
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.78u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
Los Angeles Sparks
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
72.9%
EV/u
0.526
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.12u
Home win
wnba
Washington Mystics
Minnesota Lynx
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
75.1%
EV/u
0.807
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.74u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.77u
Lost
-0.77u
First inning result
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
19.1%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
1.04u
Lost
-1.04u
Home win
wnba
Seattle Storm
New York Liberty
home
Odds
1.57
Prob
69.0%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.27u
Home win
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Indiana Fever
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
79.0%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
1.02u
Won
+0.89u
First inning result
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
2.25
Prob
21.1%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
1.02u
Lost
-1.02u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
22.1%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
17.3%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
1.31u
Lost
-1.31u
Home win
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Seattle Storm
home
Odds
1.74
Prob
77.2%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home win
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Dallas Wings
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
68.2%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
18.9%
EV/u
0.482
Stake
0.31u
Won
+1.15u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
16.4%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.75u
Won
+0.75u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
15.6%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.98u
Won
+0.89u
First inning result
mlb
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
16.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
13.9%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.91u
Lost
-0.91u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
20.0%
EV/u
0.437
Stake
0.26u
Won
+1.04u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
1.95
Prob
16.4%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First inning result
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.28u
Won
+1.01u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
25.8%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
16.6%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.73u
Won
+0.54u
First inning result
mlb
Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
15.0%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.99u
Lost
-0.99u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
18.4%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.58u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.485
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
17.0%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
1.23u
Lost
-1.23u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
27.2%
EV/u
0.504
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.98u
First inning result
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
19.5%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
New York Mets
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
26.4%
EV/u
0.480
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
17.3%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.943
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First inning result
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
4.25
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.524
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Athletics
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
20.8%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.59u
First inning result
mlb
Athletics
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
22.5%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.85u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
21.5%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.95u
Lost
-0.95u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
2.15
Prob
23.7%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
First inning result
mlb
Athletics
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
22.4%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.90u
Won
+0.90u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
2.15
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.91u
Lost
-0.91u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
21.8%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.77u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
22.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
20.0%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.90
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First inning result
mlb
Athletics
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
1.67
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.93u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
4.70
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.554
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.489
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
23.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.47u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
1.63
Prob
22.3%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First inning result
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.504
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.20u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First inning result
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
1.67
Prob
22.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First inning result
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
24.0%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.60u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
1.59
Prob
22.3%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
28.8%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.35u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.497
Stake
0.34u
Won
+1.02u
First inning result
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
20.2%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
1.01u
Won
+0.70u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
24.6%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.43u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
18.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
1.25u
Lost
-1.25u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
15.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.75u
Won
+0.65u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
21.6%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
1.03u
Lost
-1.03u
Home win
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Dallas Wings
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
1.03u
Won
+1.44u
Home win
wnba
Washington Mystics
Indiana Fever
home
Odds
1.69
Prob
65.8%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
18.6%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.59u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
20.2%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
Home win
wnba
Los Angeles Sparks
Phoenix Mercury
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
63.8%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.90u
Lost
-0.90u
Home win
wnba
Washington Mystics
New York Liberty
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.554
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.96u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
Phoenix Mercury
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
65.4%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
1.05u
Lost
-1.05u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
Washington Mystics
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
28.4%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
71.7%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
28.9%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Atlanta Dream
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
68.0%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
1.04u
Won
+0.83u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.