Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 5:16 PM EDT
Home win
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
20.5%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.43u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
19.9%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.86u
Won
+0.90u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
20.2%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
19.6%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
1.02u
Won
+1.07u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
Minnesota Lynx
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
64.1%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.51u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
19.7%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First inning result
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
29.1%
EV/u
0.384
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First inning result
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
4.25
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.91u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.424
Stake
0.29u
Won
+1.02u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.448
Stake
0.27u
Won
+1.08u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
28.7%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First inning result
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
0.26u
Won
+1.04u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.95u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First inning result
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
27.8%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First inning result
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First inning result
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
28.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First inning result
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
21.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First inning result
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
24.9%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.27u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
22.6%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.31u
First inning result
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
20.7%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.24u
First inning result
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
22.0%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
24.1%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
22.4%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
22.2%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.35u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
18.4%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.41u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
22.7%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.42u
First inning result
mlb
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
18.3%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
22.6%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
24.0%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.29u
First inning result
mlb
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
20.8%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.33u
First inning result
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
20.6%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.19u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
22.0%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
19.1%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.39u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
19.4%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
19.7%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.73u
Won
+0.58u
First inning result
mlb
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.65
Prob
20.1%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.23u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
1.67
Prob
14.5%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First inning result
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
19.7%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.23u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
19.2%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.39u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
16.7%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.19u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
19.1%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.47u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
Indiana Fever
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.84u
Won
+1.34u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
13.8%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First inning result
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
20.9%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.25u
First inning result
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
20.4%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.27u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
18.4%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.28u
First inning result
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
16.6%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
20.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
18.0%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
1.59
Prob
21.7%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.14u
First inning result
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
1.69
Prob
17.0%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.26u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
22.1%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.17u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
16.4%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.40u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
21.9%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
20.6%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.24u
First inning result
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
1.63
Prob
19.2%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
18.8%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.37u
First inning result
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
20.5%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
25.4%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.26u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
1.71
Prob
23.2%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.19u
First inning result
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
1.65
Prob
16.2%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Houston Astros
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
19.9%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
25.4%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
1.65
Prob
20.1%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.24u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
23.3%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
17.3%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.28u
First inning result
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
20.5%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First inning result
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
20.5%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.29u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
21.6%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.40u
First inning result
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
17.6%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.57u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
18.8%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.97u
Lost
-0.97u
First inning result
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
18.5%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.42u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
21.1%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.36u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.95
Prob
21.2%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.37u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
17.6%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.57u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
17.6%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.94u
Won
+0.85u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
16.6%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.54u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
1.80
Prob
17.9%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
20.5%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.50u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
21.7%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First inning result
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
18.5%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.38u
First inning result
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
19.8%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.39u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
2.10
Prob
24.3%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
17.1%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
19.2%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.51u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
20.0%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.20u
First inning result
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
19.2%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
2.00
Prob
19.4%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
1.14u
Won
+1.14u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
18.4%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First inning result
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
1.77
Prob
17.5%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.34u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
1.87
Prob
18.8%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First inning result
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
1.74
Prob
18.8%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.30u
First inning result
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
18.6%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.51u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.