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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT

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First inning result mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
1.83
Prob
21.5%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
1.20u
Won +1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.61u
Won +0.88u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.51
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.458
Stake
0.66u
Won +1.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.48
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.701
Stake
1.50u
Won +3.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.34
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
1.28u
Lost -1.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.7%
EV/u
0.652
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.8%
EV/u
0.648
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.596
Stake
0.41u
Won +1.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.5%
EV/u
0.635
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
16.6%
EV/u
0.821
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.7%
EV/u
0.812
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.9%
EV/u
0.754
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.0%
EV/u
0.841
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.1%
EV/u
0.785
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
16.1%
EV/u
0.826
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.1%
EV/u
0.756
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
24.6%
EV/u
0.741
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.6%
EV/u
0.699
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.2%
EV/u
0.734
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.1%
EV/u
0.732
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
16.1%
EV/u
0.876
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
15.2%
EV/u
0.879
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.6%
EV/u
0.755
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.7%
EV/u
0.776
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.0%
EV/u
0.754
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.9%
EV/u
0.820
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
18.2%
EV/u
0.792
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
23.1%
EV/u
0.698
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
13.4%
EV/u
0.955
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.3%
EV/u
0.802
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.1%
EV/u
0.769
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
15.3%
EV/u
0.885
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.9%
EV/u
0.790
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.81u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.1%
EV/u
0.766
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.0%
EV/u
0.773
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.81u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
23.8%
EV/u
0.722
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
18.4%
EV/u
0.823
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
14.8%
EV/u
0.861
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.659
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
25.1%
EV/u
0.674
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
23.3%
EV/u
0.699
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.81u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.5%
EV/u
0.757
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.0%
EV/u
0.654
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
25.3%
EV/u
0.702
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.81u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.6%
EV/u
0.756
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
11.1%
EV/u
0.865
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
12.3%
EV/u
0.872
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.9%
EV/u
0.802
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
18.3%
EV/u
0.795
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.6%
EV/u
0.779
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.2%
EV/u
0.776
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
14.1%
EV/u
0.932
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.8%
EV/u
0.671
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.3%
EV/u
0.793
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
13.9%
EV/u
0.843
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.5%
EV/u
0.804
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.4%
EV/u
0.864
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.4%
EV/u
0.742
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.9%
EV/u
0.827
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
0.595
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
18.3%
EV/u
0.763
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
13.0%
EV/u
0.886
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.8%
EV/u
0.610
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
16.1%
EV/u
0.834
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.8%
EV/u
0.714
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.597
Stake
0.77u
Lost -0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.74u
Won +1.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.54u
Won +0.76u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.