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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.409
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.592
Stake
0.72u
Won +2.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.78u
Won +1.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.55u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
62.3%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
61.8%
EV/u
0.564
Stake
0.91u
Lost -0.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.64u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
63.0%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.87u
Won +1.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.662
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
1.67
Prob
70.8%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.411
Stake
1.03u
Won +2.21u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.607
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.414
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.80u
Won +1.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.766
Stake
0.94u
Lost -0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
1.74
Prob
22.4%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
59.4%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.86u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
0.78u
Won +1.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
66.8%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.80u
Won +0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.55u
Won +0.88u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
1.65
Prob
21.9%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.388
Stake
1.08u
Won +2.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.565
Stake
0.87u
Won +1.87u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.75u
Won +1.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
1.02u
Lost -1.02u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.67u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.