Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 6:53 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.3% | 0.351 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Oct 17, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.7% | 0.303 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Oct 17, 2020 | epl |
Everton
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.2% | 0.275 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Oct 17, 2020 | epl |
Chelsea
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.303 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Oct 17, 2020 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | 1x | 5.00 | 64.2% | 2.211 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Oct 17, 2020 | bundesliga |
Arminia Bielefeld
Bayern Munich
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 53.4% | 0.335 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Oct 17, 2020 | bundesliga |
Mainz
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 55.5% | 0.319 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Oct 17, 2020 | bundesliga |
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
|
Home draw | away | 3.40 | 46.1% | 0.834 | 0.50u | Won | +1.20u |
| Oct 4, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Liverpool
|
Result | draw | 4.80 | 28.4% | 0.762 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Oct 4, 2020 | epl |
Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 39.2% | 0.637 | 0.73u | Won | +1.90u |
| Oct 4, 2020 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Fulham
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 64.0% | 0.221 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Oct 4, 2020 | epl |
Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 66.9% | 0.277 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Oct 4, 2020 | epl |
Southampton
West Bromwich Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.3% | 0.293 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Oct 4, 2020 | epl |
Leicester City
West Ham United
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 68.8% | 0.314 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Oct 3, 2020 | epl |
Leeds United
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.5% | 0.365 | 0.65u | Won | +0.59u |
| Oct 3, 2020 | epl |
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.7% | 0.305 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Oct 3, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
Burnley
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 66.7% | 0.274 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Oct 3, 2020 | bundesliga |
Eintracht Frankfurt
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.91 | 67.3% | 0.284 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Oct 3, 2020 | bundesliga |
Werder Bremen
Arminia Bielefeld
|
Home away | 12 | 1.22 | 89.3% | 0.091 | 1.20u | Won | +0.27u |
| Oct 3, 2020 | epl |
Leeds United
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 2.37 | 45.9% | 0.087 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Oct 3, 2020 | epl |
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 47.8% | 0.220 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 28, 2020 | epl |
Fulham
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 40.8% | 0.347 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 28, 2020 | epl |
Liverpool
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.6% | 0.154 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 28, 2020 | epl |
Fulham
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 46.2% | 0.027 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | epl |
Sheffield United
Leeds United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 46.0% | 0.031 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Leicester City
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.7% | 0.083 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 62.9% | 0.201 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 47.0% | 0.410 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.50 | 67.1% | 2.020 | 1.20u | Won | +4.20u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | bundesliga |
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Cologne
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 67.3% | 0.121 | 0.50u | Won | +0.33u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | bundesliga |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 66.2% | 0.737 | 1.00u | Won | +1.63u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | bundesliga |
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Cologne
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 96.0% | 0.235 | 0.89u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | bundesliga |
Schalke 04
Werder Bremen
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 92.4% | 0.187 | 0.61u | Won | +0.17u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | epl |
West Bromwich Albion
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.6% | 0.344 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Everton
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 79.4% | 0.516 | 0.67u | Won | +0.61u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | epl |
Burnley
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 24.2% | 0.447 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | epl |
West Bromwich Albion
Chelsea
|
Result | draw | 4.75 | 34.5% | 0.467 | 0.24u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Everton
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 46.9% | 0.548 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 52.4% | 0.728 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Sheffield United
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 43.7% | 0.529 | 1.02u | Won | +2.55u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester City
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 40.6% | 0.402 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.2% | 0.180 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 76.6% | 0.462 | 1.11u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | epl |
Leicester City
Burnley
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 65.5% | 0.251 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 45.2% | 0.108 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | epl |
Chelsea
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 55.8% | 0.896 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 19, 2020 | epl |
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.2% | 0.257 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 19, 2020 | epl |
Everton
West Bromwich Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 21.5% | 0.498 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Sep 14, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 59.0% | 0.127 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 14, 2020 | epl |
Sheffield United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 14.4% | 0.634 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Sep 14, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
|
Result | draw | 4.40 | 33.1% | 0.585 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 14, 2020 | epl |
Sheffield United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 47.0% | 0.526 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Sep 13, 2020 | epl |
West Bromwich Albion
Leicester City
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 50.5% | 0.616 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 13, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.4% | 0.348 | 1.00u | Won | +0.91u |
| Sep 13, 2020 | epl |
West Bromwich Albion
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.1% | 0.239 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.7% | 0.322 | 0.65u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.8% | 0.359 | 0.80u | Won | +0.73u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | epl |
Fulham
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 39.3% | 0.582 | 0.34u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | epl |
Liverpool
Leeds United
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 46.0% | 1.302 | 1.16u | Won | +4.64u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Norwich City
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 47.8% | 0.386 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | epl |
Southampton
Sheffield United
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 48.3% | 0.739 | 0.89u | Won | +2.31u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | epl |
Arsenal
Watford
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 47.0% | 0.409 | 0.35u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | epl |
Chelsea
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 3.75 | 47.3% | 0.165 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.3% | 0.197 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | epl |
Burnley
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.8% | 0.263 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.2% | 0.199 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | epl |
Southampton
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.6% | 0.191 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 22, 2020 | epl |
Manchester United
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.4% | 0.271 | 0.74u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jul 22, 2020 | epl |
Liverpool
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.2% | 0.275 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Jul 21, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.7% | 0.360 | 0.96u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 21, 2020 | epl |
Watford
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.8% | 0.265 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jul 21, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 3.75 | 45.1% | 0.345 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Jul 21, 2020 | epl |
Watford
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 37.7% | 0.169 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 20, 2020 | epl |
Sheffield United
Everton
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 48.5% | 0.166 | 0.41u | Won | +1.31u |
| Jul 20, 2020 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.5% | 0.251 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 20, 2020 | epl |
Sheffield United
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.5% | 0.345 | 0.70u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 20, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.9% | 0.261 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 19, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.2% | 0.294 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 19, 2020 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.6% | 0.305 | 0.78u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 19, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Leicester City
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 45.6% | 0.414 | 0.75u | Won | +1.58u |
| Jul 19, 2020 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Southampton
|
Result | away | 3.20 | 37.6% | 0.423 | 0.75u | Won | +1.65u |
| Jul 18, 2020 | epl |
Norwich City
Burnley
|
Result | home | 2.40 | 51.0% | 0.223 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 18, 2020 | epl |
Norwich City
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 27.4% | 0.386 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 17, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
Watford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 27.3% | 0.389 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 16, 2020 | epl |
Leicester City
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.2% | 0.275 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 16, 2020 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 27.2% | 0.389 | 0.58u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 16, 2020 | epl |
Everton
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.0% | 0.241 | 0.24u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 16, 2020 | epl |
Southampton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.6% | 0.306 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jul 16, 2020 | epl |
Leicester City
Sheffield United
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 45.0% | 0.103 | 0.52u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 16, 2020 | epl |
Everton
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 3.75 | 45.1% | 0.337 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Jul 15, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 47.7% | 1.004 | 0.67u | Won | +2.14u |
| Jul 15, 2020 | epl |
Arsenal
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 37.8% | 0.890 | 0.44u | Won | +1.76u |
| Jul 15, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 39.8% | 0.793 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 15, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.200 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 15, 2020 | epl |
Arsenal
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.8% | 0.263 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 15, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 15, 2020 | epl |
Burnley
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.4% | 0.291 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 14, 2020 | epl |
Chelsea
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.9% | 0.262 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 14, 2020 | epl |
Chelsea
Norwich City
|
Result | home | 2.35 | 53.0% | 0.247 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Jul 13, 2020 | epl |
Manchester United
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 25.7% | 0.418 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.