Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 6:53 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.6% | 0.173 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 12, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.6% | 0.306 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 12, 2020 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.302 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 12, 2020 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.7% | 0.228 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 12, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 2.70 | 41.0% | 0.108 | 0.51u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 12, 2020 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Everton
|
Result | away | 3.90 | 45.4% | 0.220 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 11, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 47.9% | 1.396 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Jul 11, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 39.5% | 0.877 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 11, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 41.9% | 0.508 | 0.18u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 11, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.5% | 0.289 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 11, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.2% | 0.314 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 11, 2020 | epl |
Liverpool
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.3% | 0.311 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 11, 2020 | epl |
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.6% | 0.324 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jul 9, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.9% | 0.166 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 9, 2020 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 23.7% | 0.457 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 9, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester United
|
Result | away | 3.20 | 45.5% | 0.127 | 0.46u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 8, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
Burnley
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 46.2% | 0.939 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jul 8, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Liverpool
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 31.6% | 1.263 | 0.96u | Won | +3.07u |
| Jul 8, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.5% | 0.288 | 0.31u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 8, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.2% | 0.238 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 8, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 23.2% | 0.467 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jul 8, 2020 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.9% | 0.225 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jul 7, 2020 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.1% | 0.373 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jul 7, 2020 | epl |
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.175 | 0.18u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 7, 2020 | epl |
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.6% | 0.325 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jul 6, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 5, 2020 | epl |
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.4% | 0.195 | 0.82u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 5, 2020 | epl |
Liverpool
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.4% | 0.099 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 5, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.132 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 5, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 51.7% | 0.602 | 0.49u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jul 5, 2020 | epl |
Burnley
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 37.6% | 0.891 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jul 5, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 38.6% | 0.374 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jul 4, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 41.8% | 0.513 | 1.20u | Won | +3.12u |
| Jul 4, 2020 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.4% | 0.290 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 4, 2020 | epl |
Manchester United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.8% | 0.283 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 4, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 22.0% | 0.489 | 0.79u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 4, 2020 | epl |
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.3% | 0.197 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 2, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.6% | 0.192 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 2, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.6% | 0.364 | 1.15u | Won | +1.05u |
| Jul 2, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 51.2% | 1.433 | 0.96u | Won | +3.60u |
| Jul 2, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 54.7% | 0.913 | 0.54u | Won | +1.35u |
| Jul 1, 2020 | epl |
Arsenal
|
Result | home | 2.15 | 56.7% | 0.218 | 0.36u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 1, 2020 | epl |
Everton
|
Result | home | 2.55 | 51.2% | 0.306 | 0.57u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 1, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 2.40 | 54.1% | 0.298 | 0.57u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 1, 2020 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.9% | 0.204 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 1, 2020 | epl |
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 26.2% | 0.408 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Jul 1, 2020 | epl |
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.9% | 0.204 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jun 30, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.3% | 0.216 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 29, 2020 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.3% | 0.178 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jun 28, 2020 | epl |
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 24.5% | 0.442 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 28, 2020 | epl |
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 34.6% | 1.069 | 1.20u | Won | +3.84u |
| Jun 27, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 33.5% | 0.408 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Jun 27, 2020 | bundesliga |
SC Freiburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 65.1% | 0.466 | 0.50u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jun 27, 2020 | bundesliga |
Werder Bremen
FC Cologne
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 66.0% | 0.816 | 1.00u | Won | +1.75u |
| Jun 27, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 22.9% | 0.473 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jun 25, 2020 | epl |
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.335 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jun 25, 2020 | epl |
Chelsea
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.335 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jun 25, 2020 | epl |
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.335 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jun 25, 2020 | epl |
Chelsea
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 50.7% | 0.774 | 0.32u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jun 25, 2020 | epl |
Burnley
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 60.4% | 1.719 | 1.18u | Won | +4.13u |
| Jun 24, 2020 | epl |
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 52.3% | 1.198 | 1.20u | Won | +3.84u |
| Jun 24, 2020 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 35.6% | 0.254 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jun 24, 2020 | epl |
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.6% | 0.345 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jun 24, 2020 | epl |
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.5% | 0.365 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jun 24, 2020 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.2% | 0.371 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jun 24, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.5% | 0.365 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jun 23, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.5% | 0.365 | 0.81u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jun 23, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.335 | 0.69u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jun 22, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.5% | 0.365 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 21, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.2% | 0.371 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jun 21, 2020 | epl |
Everton
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.5% | 0.346 | 0.48u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jun 21, 2020 | epl |
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.6% | 0.345 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jun 21, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 48.0% | 0.583 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 44.4% | 0.597 | 0.42u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | epl |
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 44.9% | 0.798 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | home | 2.70 | 56.2% | 0.517 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.3% | 0.369 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.335 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | epl |
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.335 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | epl |
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.6% | 0.345 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | bundesliga |
Bayern Munich
SC Freiburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.00 | 65.1% | 1.605 | 0.67u | Won | +2.01u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | bundesliga |
FC Augsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 65.1% | 0.627 | 0.44u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jun 20, 2020 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 63.6% | 0.589 | 0.39u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jun 19, 2020 | epl |
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 54.6% | 0.776 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 19, 2020 | epl |
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.5% | 0.365 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jun 19, 2020 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.6% | 0.345 | 0.71u | Won | +0.65u |
| Jun 17, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.2% | 0.371 | 0.86u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jun 17, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.1% | 0.316 | 0.64u | Won | +0.58u |
| Jun 17, 2020 | bundesliga |
FC Augsburg
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 65.0% | 0.083 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Jun 17, 2020 | epl |
Manchester City
Arsenal
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 55.5% | 0.776 | 1.10u | Won | +2.42u |
| Jun 17, 2020 | epl |
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 50.9% | 0.426 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jun 16, 2020 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Home draw | 1x | 5.00 | 65.0% | 2.248 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| Jun 14, 2020 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 65.1% | 0.791 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Jun 12, 2020 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.00 | 50.4% | 0.512 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 6, 2020 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
|
Home draw | away | 3.60 | 48.9% | 0.841 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 1, 2020 | bundesliga |
FC Cologne
RB Leipzig
|
Home draw | away | 2.62 | 47.0% | 0.389 | 1.20u | Won | +1.94u |
| May 29, 2020 | bundesliga |
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | away | 1.70 | 30.8% | 0.176 | 1.20u | Won | +0.84u |
| May 29, 2020 | bundesliga |
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 50.2% | 0.054 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| May 27, 2020 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
Mainz
|
Home draw | away | 2.75 | 48.4% | 0.419 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 26, 2020 | bundesliga |
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
Home draw | away | 1.72 | 26.8% | 0.259 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.