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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.48
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.48
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.82u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.61
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.560
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.16
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
4.11
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.853
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.17
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.476
Stake
0.94u
Lost -0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.47
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
4.12
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.378
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
4.18
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.616
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.64
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.02
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.87
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.79
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.642
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.76
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
3.16
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.92u
Lost -0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
3.36
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.89
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
4.51
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.656
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.61
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.40u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.42
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.47u
Won +1.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.43u
Won +1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.54
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.71
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.511
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.76
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.471
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.68u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
4.19
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.625
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.