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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
1.79
Prob
61.0%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
1.65
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.08
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.53
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.311
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.43
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.22
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.67u
Won +0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.75u
Won +1.83u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.50u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.56u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.17
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.61u
Won +0.81u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
1.99
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
1.98
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.02u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.86u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.22
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.88u
Lost -0.88u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.16u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.71u
Won +1.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.69u
Won +1.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.94u
Won +1.61u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.58u
Won +0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.15u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.