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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.585
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.00u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.82u
Lost -0.82u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.66
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.93
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.569
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.56
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.480
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.03
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.71
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.95u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
4.25
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.826
Stake
0.47u
Won +1.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.75u
Won +1.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.72
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.71u
Won +1.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.42u
Won +1.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.21
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.47
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.492
Stake
1.07u
Lost -1.07u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.77
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.438
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.02u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.61
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.21
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.89u
Won +1.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.98u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.34
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.75u
Lost -0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.85u
Lost -0.85u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.82
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.02u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.86u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.51
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.