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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.89u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.23
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.94
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.31
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.472
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.48
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.632
Stake
0.70u
Won +1.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.14
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.81
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.39
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.71
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.54
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
1.04u
Lost -1.04u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.51
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.91
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.525
Stake
0.65u
Lost -0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.57
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.29
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.590
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
3.11
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.82u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.28
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.61u
Won +0.98u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
1.69
Prob
11.4%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.21
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.04u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.51
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.46
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.469
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.48u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
3.34
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.39
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.91
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.57u
Won +0.85u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.37
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.389
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.47
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
24.4%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.458
Stake
0.94u
Lost -0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.67u
Lost -0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
1.65
Prob
68.4%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.06
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.59u
Won +0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.52
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.46u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.