Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.81u
Won
+1.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.61
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.97
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
1.04u
Lost
-1.04u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.86
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.14
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
1.33u
Lost
-1.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.81u
Won
+1.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
4.24
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.536
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.94u
Lost
-0.94u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
1.00u
Won
+1.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.86u
Won
+1.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
1.13u
Lost
-1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.56
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.694
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.843
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.02
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.485
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.59
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.90u
Won
+1.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.71
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.602
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.03u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.57
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.84u
Won
+2.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.86
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.647
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.94u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.626
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
4.65
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.998
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.62
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.562
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.45
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.89
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.53
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.521
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.03u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.94u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
4.41
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.904
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.449
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.97
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.