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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.39
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.548
Stake
0.86u
Won +2.06u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.26
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.478
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.78u
Won +1.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.66u
Won +1.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.90u
Lost -0.90u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.67u
Won +1.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.83
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.409
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.78
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.64u
Won +0.99u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.92u
Won +1.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.17
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.83
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.456
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.84
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.83u
Won +1.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.74u
Won +1.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.22
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.