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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 10:14 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.98
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.75u
Lost -0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.67u
Won +1.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.77u
Lost -0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
19.5%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
18.2%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.79u
Lost -0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.83u
Won +1.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.91u
Lost -0.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.4%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
1.98
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.89u
Lost -0.89u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
1.71
Prob
12.4%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.71u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.94u
Lost -0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.14
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.21
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.87u
Lost -0.87u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.47u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.83u
Lost -0.83u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.18
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.91u
Lost -0.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
3.18
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.82u
Won +1.79u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.82u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.06
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
1.03u
Lost -1.03u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
1.07u
Won +2.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.86u
Won +1.36u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.08u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
1.08u
Lost -1.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.94
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
1.05u
Lost -1.05u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.47
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
1.01u
Lost -1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.57u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.09
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.73
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.995
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.509
Stake
0.82u
Lost -0.82u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.