Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:22 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 58.1% | 0.219 | 0.12u | Won | +0.13u |
| Sep 10, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 58.1% | 0.376 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 58.1% | 0.336 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 58.1% | 0.296 | 0.17u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 58.1% | 0.324 | 0.20u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 3.55 | 58.1% | 1.061 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 53.9% | 0.132 | 0.08u | Won | +0.09u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 54.4% | 0.235 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 3.09 | 55.0% | 0.699 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 53.0% | 0.220 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 53.9% | 0.153 | 0.10u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 56.2% | 0.259 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Sep 7, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 57.2% | 0.155 | 0.76u | Won | +0.78u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 56.1% | 0.122 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 53.9% | 0.315 | 0.27u | Won | +0.39u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 57.5% | 0.580 | 0.72u | Won | +1.26u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 54.6% | 0.256 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 53.9% | 0.482 | 0.52u | Won | +0.91u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 53.9% | 0.525 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.03 | 54.6% | 0.109 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 56.2% | 0.158 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 55.0% | 0.594 | 0.88u | Won | +1.67u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 53.1% | 0.327 | 0.40u | Won | +0.60u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 55.7% | 0.336 | 0.44u | Won | +0.62u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 55.9% | 0.319 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 54.4% | 0.229 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 54.6% | 0.273 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 53.7% | 0.155 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 54.8% | 0.196 | 0.50u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 53.1% | 0.248 | 0.70u | Won | +0.95u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 55.7% | 0.124 | 0.25u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 53.7% | 0.230 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 54.6% | 0.388 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 55.7% | 0.371 | 0.37u | Won | +0.54u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 53.9% | 0.255 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 55.1% | 0.520 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 54.6% | 0.164 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 54.9% | 0.334 | 0.44u | Won | +0.63u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 54.6% | 0.366 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 55.7% | 0.454 | 0.73u | Won | +1.18u |
| Aug 31, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.62 | 54.9% | 0.438 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 31, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 55.7% | 0.605 | 1.10u | Won | +2.07u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 54.6% | 0.524 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 52.7% | 0.302 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 54.6% | 0.530 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 54.6% | 0.306 | 0.26u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 53.9% | 0.207 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.93 | 54.6% | 0.052 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 54.6% | 0.229 | 0.54u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 1.97 | 53.7% | 0.059 | 0.07u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 54.6% | 0.262 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 53.7% | 0.246 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 55.9% | 0.174 | 0.16u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.07 | 53.9% | 0.116 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 54.6% | 0.546 | 0.97u | Won | +1.78u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 54.9% | 0.158 | 0.13u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 54.9% | 0.197 | 0.19u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 27, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 54.6% | 0.317 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Aug 27, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 53.9% | 0.164 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Aug 27, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 53.1% | 0.571 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home win | home | 1.99 | 57.2% | 0.138 | 0.20u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 53.9% | 0.159 | 0.23u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 55.7% | 0.358 | 0.88u | Won | +1.27u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 56.2% | 0.231 | 0.44u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 1.89 | 55.9% | 0.054 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Aug 25, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 56.4% | 0.320 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 25, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 53.5% | 0.151 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 25, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 54.2% | 0.490 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Aug 25, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 55.7% | 0.176 | 0.17u | Won | +0.19u |
| Aug 24, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 57.3% | 0.272 | 0.67u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 24, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 61.1% | 0.362 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.03 | 57.4% | 0.165 | 0.19u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.07 | 62.0% | 0.283 | 0.48u | Won | +0.51u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 55.7% | 0.225 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 53.3% | 0.349 | 0.58u | Won | +0.89u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 56.0% | 0.120 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 54.1% | 0.137 | 0.13u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 57.3% | 0.369 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 53.0% | 0.091 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 58.6% | 0.443 | 0.73u | Won | +1.07u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 1.94 | 56.6% | 0.096 | 0.07u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 56.6% | 0.285 | 0.37u | Won | +0.47u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.01 | 59.8% | 0.202 | 0.28u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 60.1% | 0.328 | 0.66u | Won | +0.80u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 59.9% | 0.287 | 0.54u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 53.9% | 0.131 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 55.8% | 0.144 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.44 | 58.6% | 1.017 | 0.72u | Won | +1.76u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.12 | 60.3% | 0.880 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 57.8% | 0.330 | 0.12u | Won | +0.16u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.98 | 56.9% | 0.697 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 52.5% | 0.317 | 0.14u | Won | +0.21u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 3.07 | 59.4% | 0.822 | 0.70u | Won | +1.45u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.78 | 53.0% | 0.472 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 54.8% | 0.480 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 54.6% | 0.375 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 56.2% | 0.393 | 0.20u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.24 | 46.9% | 0.189 | 0.15u | Won | +0.19u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 56.5% | 0.225 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 57.7% | 0.212 | 0.18u | Won | +0.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.