Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 59.8% | 0.537 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.39 | 49.8% | 0.200 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 56.4% | 0.281 | 0.30u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 59.2% | 0.372 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 54.8% | 0.070 | 0.08u | Won | +0.08u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 57.5% | 0.225 | 0.47u | Won | +0.53u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 54.9% | 0.131 | 0.19u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 56.2% | 0.152 | 0.11u | Won | +0.12u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.0% | 0.140 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 59.4% | 0.543 | 0.89u | Won | +1.42u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 55.0% | 0.215 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.01 | 57.5% | 0.155 | 0.12u | Won | +0.12u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 54.5% | 0.336 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 58.9% | 0.426 | 0.51u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 55.5% | 0.488 | 0.60u | Won | +1.01u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 52.5% | 0.213 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 56.8% | 0.250 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.89 | 58.4% | 0.105 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 52.1% | 0.319 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 56.9% | 0.569 | 0.49u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 55.6% | 0.357 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 57.3% | 0.225 | 0.10u | Won | +0.11u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 58.3% | 0.458 | 0.35u | Won | +0.53u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 53.2% | 0.245 | 0.11u | Won | +0.15u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 58.6% | 0.565 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 13, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 54.5% | 0.282 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 13, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.21 | 48.6% | 0.135 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Aug 13, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 45.2% | 0.397 | 1.00u | Won | +1.55u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 53.8% | 0.152 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 55.0% | 0.243 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Braves
|
Home win | home | 1.81 | 58.9% | 0.063 | 0.09u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 54.2% | 0.143 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.91 | 59.6% | 0.137 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.5% | 0.259 | 0.93u | Won | +1.30u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 53.1% | 0.094 | 0.45u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.5% | 0.077 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 52.3% | 0.145 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.8% | 0.082 | 0.31u | Won | +0.33u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 52.7% | 0.095 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 52.3% | 0.113 | 0.50u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 55.4% | 0.275 | 0.53u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 52.1% | 0.240 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 52.2% | 0.179 | 0.24u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 51.1% | 0.200 | 0.28u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.1% | 0.225 | 0.35u | Won | +0.47u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 51.6% | 0.213 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.07 | 51.8% | 0.073 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 52.9% | 0.222 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 53.0% | 0.172 | 0.36u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 52.6% | 0.163 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 54.4% | 0.089 | 0.11u | Won | +0.11u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 52.8% | 0.358 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 51.7% | 0.163 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.5% | 0.130 | 0.23u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 52.4% | 0.473 | 0.85u | Won | +1.54u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 52.3% | 0.291 | 0.38u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 52.5% | 0.171 | 0.15u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 51.8% | 0.310 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.5% | 0.129 | 0.12u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 51.8% | 0.161 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 53.4% | 0.132 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 51.5% | 0.405 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 51.9% | 0.309 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 52.4% | 0.278 | 0.53u | Won | +0.76u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 53.1% | 0.401 | 0.98u | Won | +1.61u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 52.7% | 0.166 | 0.22u | Won | +0.27u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.04 | 53.1% | 0.084 | 0.07u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 52.7% | 0.117 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 52.7% | 0.144 | 0.38u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 52.9% | 0.365 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 53.0% | 0.378 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 52.6% | 0.215 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.77 | 52.8% | 0.463 | 0.49u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 53.5% | 0.419 | 0.41u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 51.9% | 0.219 | 0.14u | Won | +0.19u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 53.4% | 0.320 | 0.27u | Won | +0.40u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 52.1% | 0.137 | 0.09u | Won | +0.11u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.94 | 52.1% | 0.533 | 0.88u | Won | +1.71u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 54.1% | 0.260 | 0.28u | Won | +0.37u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 54.7% | 0.313 | 0.39u | Won | +0.55u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 51.8% | 0.192 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 52.5% | 0.333 | 0.30u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 52.3% | 0.356 | 0.33u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 51.8% | 0.378 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 52.6% | 0.284 | 0.23u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 53.7% | 0.450 | 0.51u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 53.6% | 0.127 | 0.06u | Won | +0.07u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.5% | 0.207 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.8% | 0.242 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 53.3% | 0.327 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 52.4% | 0.626 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 52.4% | 0.331 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 53.7% | 0.423 | 0.30u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 51.8% | 0.191 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 3.98 | 51.3% | 1.041 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 52.6% | 0.205 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.16 | 31.6% | 0.478 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.43 | 46.3% | 0.304 | 0.08u | Won | +0.11u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 1.96 | 31.6% | 0.342 | 0.12u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.13 | 0.0% | 1.130 | 1.16u | Won | +1.31u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.