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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 10:17 PM EDT

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Result primeiraliga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
Result primeiraliga
Boavista Boavista
FC Porto FC Porto
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
Result primeiraliga
Estrela Estrela
AVS AVS
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
Result primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
SC Farense SC Farense
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.334
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
Result primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
Rio Ave Rio Ave
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
Result primeiraliga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Braga Braga
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
Result primeiraliga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
Result primeiraliga
Benfica Benfica
AVS AVS
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.427
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
Result primeiraliga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Arouca Arouca
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
Result primeiraliga
Estrela Estrela
FC Porto FC Porto
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
Result primeiraliga
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
Braga Braga
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.67u
Lost -0.67u
Result primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
Benfica Benfica
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.26u
Result primeiraliga
Estoril Estoril
Braga Braga
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
Result primeiraliga
Arouca Arouca
Estrela Estrela
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
1.085
Stake
0.60u
Won +2.40u
Result primeiraliga
AVS AVS
Casa Pia Casa Pia
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
Result primeiraliga
SC Farense SC Farense
Boavista Boavista
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.376
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
Result primeiraliga
FC Porto FC Porto
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
Result primeiraliga
FC Porto FC Porto
Benfica Benfica
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
Result primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
Estrela Estrela
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.30u
Result primeiraliga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
Moreirense Moreirense
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.06u
Result primeiraliga
Arouca Arouca
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.683
Stake
0.47u
Won +1.65u
Result primeiraliga
AVS AVS
Estoril Estoril
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.765
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.84u
Result primeiraliga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
Result primeiraliga
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
AVS AVS
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.73u
Result primeiraliga
Estoril Estoril
FC Porto FC Porto
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.830
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.98u
Result primeiraliga
Moreirense Moreirense
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.895
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
Result primeiraliga
Braga Braga
Arouca Arouca
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.447
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
Result primeiraliga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Rio Ave Rio Ave
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.637
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
Result primeiraliga
Arouca Arouca
Estoril Estoril
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.57u
Result primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
Casa Pia Casa Pia
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
Result primeiraliga
Sporting CP Sporting CP
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.494
Stake
0.66u
Won +1.78u
Result primeiraliga
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
Rio Ave Rio Ave
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
Result primeiraliga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Moreirense Moreirense
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.80u
Result primeiraliga
Boavista Boavista
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.65u
Result primeiraliga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Sporting CP Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
Result primeiraliga
Benfica Benfica
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.69u
Won +1.55u
Result primeiraliga
AVS AVS
Arouca Arouca
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
Result primeiraliga
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
Moreirense Moreirense
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
22.4%
EV/u
0.746
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
Result primeiraliga
Estrela Estrela
Santa Clara Santa Clara
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.17u
Result primeiraliga
AVS AVS
Sporting CP Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
29.9%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.04u
Result primeiraliga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
draw
Odds
3.05
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
Result primeiraliga
Benfica Benfica
Boavista Boavista
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
Result primeiraliga
Braga Braga
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.694
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
Result primeiraliga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
Result primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
Braga Braga
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.3%
EV/u
0.414
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.48u
Result primeiraliga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
AVS AVS
draw
Odds
2.80
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.22u
Result primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
Estoril Estoril
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
27.6%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.90u
Result primeiraliga
Moreirense Moreirense
Casa Pia Casa Pia
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
25.8%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.88u
Lost -0.88u
Result primeiraliga
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Arouca Arouca
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
23.0%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.46u
Result primeiraliga
Boavista Boavista
Estrela Estrela
draw
Odds
2.75
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
Result primeiraliga
Arouca Arouca
Rio Ave Rio Ave
draw
Odds
3.90
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.32u
Result primeiraliga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
Estoril Estoril
draw
Odds
3.90
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
Result primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
AVS AVS
draw
Odds
3.05
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
Result primeiraliga
Boavista Boavista
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
Result primeiraliga
AVS AVS
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.36u
Result primeiraliga
FC Porto FC Porto
Santa Clara Santa Clara
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.643
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
Result primeiraliga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Benfica Benfica
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.501
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
Result primeiraliga
Sporting CP Sporting CP
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
Result primeiraliga
Arouca Arouca
Moreirense Moreirense
draw
Odds
2.95
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
Result primeiraliga
Boavista Boavista
Casa Pia Casa Pia
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.753
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
Result primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
FC Porto FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
Result primeiraliga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
Rio Ave Rio Ave
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
Result primeiraliga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
SC Farense SC Farense
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.15u
Result primeiraliga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
Result primeiraliga
Boavista Boavista
Arouca Arouca
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
Sporting CP Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.45u
Result primeiraliga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
Sporting CP Sporting CP
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
Result primeiraliga
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
SC Farense SC Farense
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
Result primeiraliga
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
SC Farense SC Farense
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.40u
Result primeiraliga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Arouca Arouca
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
Result primeiraliga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.33u
Result primeiraliga
Braga Braga
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
home
Odds
4.80
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
1.240
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
Result primeiraliga
Estoril Estoril
Casa Pia Casa Pia
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
Result primeiraliga
AVS AVS
Benfica Benfica
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.95u
Lost -0.95u
Result primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
Moreirense Moreirense
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.89u
Won +1.78u
Result primeiraliga
SC Farense SC Farense
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
Result primeiraliga
Estrela Estrela
Arouca Arouca
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.06u
Result primeiraliga
Estrela Estrela
Arouca Arouca
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
Result primeiraliga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
AVS AVS
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.22u
Result primeiraliga
Boavista Boavista
SC Farense SC Farense
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.40u
Result primeiraliga
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
Result primeiraliga
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
FC Porto FC Porto
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.51u
Result primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
Result primeiraliga
Estoril Estoril
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.430
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
Result primeiraliga
Arouca Arouca
Benfica Benfica
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.90u
Lost -0.90u
Result primeiraliga
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Santa Clara Santa Clara
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
Result primeiraliga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Moreirense Moreirense
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.88u
Won +1.50u
Result primeiraliga
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
Result primeiraliga
Braga Braga
Sporting CP Sporting CP
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
Result primeiraliga
Estrela Estrela
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
home
Odds
4.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
1.030
Stake
0.60u
Won +2.28u
Result primeiraliga
Benfica Benfica
FC Porto FC Porto
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.455
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
Result primeiraliga
Estoril Estoril
AVS AVS
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
Result primeiraliga
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
Arouca Arouca
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
Result primeiraliga
Boavista Boavista
Rio Ave Rio Ave
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.97u
Lost -0.97u
Result primeiraliga
Casa Pia Casa Pia
SC Farense SC Farense
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
Result primeiraliga
Moreirense Moreirense
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
Result primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional C.D. Nacional
Santa Clara Santa Clara
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.31u
Result primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes Vitória de Guimaraes
Moreirense Moreirense
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.641
Stake
0.71u
Won +1.78u
Result primeiraliga
FC Porto FC Porto
Estoril Estoril
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
Result primeiraliga
AVS AVS
FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.928
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.