Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 46.8% | 0.294 | 0.70u | Won | +1.00u |
| Sep 24, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 47.8% | 0.248 | 0.89u | Won | +1.24u |
| Sep 24, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.0% | 0.259 | 0.91u | Won | +1.29u |
| Sep 23, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 47.8% | 0.149 | 0.62u | Won | +0.74u |
| Sep 23, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.66 | 49.1% | 0.355 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Sep 22, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.70 | 49.2% | 0.372 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Sep 22, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 47.8% | 0.158 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Sep 21, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 49.1% | 0.165 | 0.64u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 21, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.5% | 0.203 | 0.73u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 20, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.3% | 0.267 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Sep 20, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 48.6% | 0.311 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Sep 19, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.9% | 0.236 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Sep 19, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.3% | 0.243 | 0.84u | Won | +1.22u |
| Sep 18, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.82 | 50.8% | 0.433 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Sep 18, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 47.9% | 0.141 | 0.59u | Won | +0.70u |
| Sep 17, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.1% | 0.247 | 0.85u | Won | +1.23u |
| Sep 17, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 48.4% | 0.203 | 0.76u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.87 | 50.5% | 0.451 | 1.20u | Won | +2.24u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.4% | 0.311 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Sep 15, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 50.2% | 0.309 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Sep 15, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 51.1% | 0.379 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 50.9% | 0.309 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 51.3% | 0.226 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Sep 13, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 50.5% | 0.186 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Sep 13, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.72 | 49.4% | 0.377 | 1.09u | Won | +1.87u |
| Sep 12, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.64 | 45.3% | 0.445 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 12, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 45.3% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 11, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 45.4% | 0.152 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Sep 11, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 45.3% | 0.390 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 45.4% | 0.218 | 0.89u | Won | +1.09u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 45.4% | 0.305 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 45.5% | 0.189 | 0.70u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 8, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 45.4% | 0.332 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 8, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.79 | 45.4% | 0.524 | 1.20u | Won | +2.15u |
| Sep 7, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 45.3% | 0.291 | 0.65u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 7, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 45.1% | 0.323 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Sep 6, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.89 | 46.2% | 0.555 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 6, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 45.2% | 0.304 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 45.2% | 0.259 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 45.2% | 0.207 | 0.80u | Won | +0.96u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 45.4% | 0.218 | 0.89u | Won | +1.09u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 45.3% | 0.164 | 0.18u | Won | +0.20u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 45.3% | 0.165 | 0.73u | Won | +0.82u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 45.5% | 0.416 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 45.5% | 0.298 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 45.5% | 0.358 | 1.20u | Won | +1.79u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.3% | 0.257 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 45.4% | 0.332 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 45.4% | 0.381 | 1.20u | Won | +1.84u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 45.5% | 0.320 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 45.3% | 0.188 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.4% | 0.337 | 1.16u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 45.6% | 0.306 | 0.64u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 67.5% | 0.668 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.80 | 67.5% | 0.891 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 67.5% | 0.319 | 1.20u | Won | +1.14u |
| Mar 15, 2026 | mls |
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 50.1% | 0.314 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 14, 2026 | mls |
Charlotte FC
Inter Miami CF
|
Draw away | home | 2.15 | 43.9% | 0.206 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 8, 2026 | mls |
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.30 | 51.7% | 0.189 | 1.16u | Won | +1.51u |
| Mar 7, 2026 | mls |
Charlotte FC
Austin FC
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.15 | 57.2% | 0.230 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Mar 1, 2026 | mls |
Austin FC
D.C. United
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.25 | 86.6% | 0.082 | 1.20u | Won | +0.30u |
| Mar 1, 2026 | mls |
San Diego FC
St. Louis CITY SC
|
Home away | 12 | 1.36 | 83.5% | 0.138 | 1.20u | Won | +0.44u |
| Mar 1, 2026 | mls |
Austin FC
D.C. United
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 84.4% | 0.085 | 0.30u | Won | +0.09u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | mls |
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
|
Draw away | home | 2.10 | 45.8% | 0.138 | 0.30u | Won | +0.33u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | mls |
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 51.4% | 0.221 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | mls |
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders FC
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.36 | 79.4% | 0.083 | 1.20u | Won | +0.44u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | mls |
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.33 | 84.3% | 0.124 | 0.30u | Won | +0.10u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | mls |
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders FC
|
Home away | 12 | 1.30 | 84.5% | 0.099 | 1.20u | Won | +0.36u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | mls |
Red Bull New York
New England Revolution
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 84.4% | 0.085 | 0.30u | Won | +0.09u |
| Feb 27, 2026 | seriea |
Parma
Cagliari
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 23, 2026 | seriea |
Bologna
Udinese
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.77u | Won | +0.70u |
| Feb 23, 2026 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Pisa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.73u | Won | +0.66u |
| Feb 23, 2026 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Pisa
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 35.2% | 0.346 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | seriea |
AS Roma
Cremonese
|
Result | away | 3.15 | 33.6% | 0.235 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | seriea |
AC Milan
Parma
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 35.3% | 0.735 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | seriea |
Atalanta
Napoli
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | seriea |
AS Roma
Cremonese
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | seriea |
AC Milan
Parma
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | seriea |
Genoa
Torino
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | mls |
Seattle Sounders FC
Colorado Rapids
|
Draw away | home | 2.15 | 42.4% | 0.239 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | mls |
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
|
Draw away | x2 | 1.80 | 58.7% | 0.057 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | mls |
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
|
Draw away | home | 2.65 | 49.7% | 0.332 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | mls |
Austin FC
Minnesota United FC
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.44 | 82.3% | 0.188 | 1.20u | Won | +0.53u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | mls |
Austin FC
Minnesota United FC
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 84.5% | 0.087 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | mls |
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 84.4% | 0.085 | 0.30u | Won | +0.09u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | seriea |
Lecce
Internazionale
|
Result | away | 3.45 | 39.6% | 0.227 | 0.74u | Won | +1.81u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | seriea |
Cagliari
Lazio
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 32.0% | 0.025 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | seriea |
Lecce
Internazionale
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | seriea |
Cagliari
Lazio
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.46u | Won | +0.42u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | seriea |
Juventus
Como
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Feb 20, 2026 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.6% | 0.172 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 20, 2026 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
|
Result | away | 4.90 | 37.9% | 0.556 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Feb 18, 2026 | seriea |
AC Milan
Como
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 16, 2026 | seriea |
Cagliari
Lecce
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 16, 2026 | seriea |
Cagliari
Lecce
|
Result | away | 3.40 | 30.8% | 0.119 | 0.40u | Won | +0.96u |
| Feb 15, 2026 | seriea |
Napoli
AS Roma
|
Result | away | 3.25 | 36.3% | 0.167 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Feb 15, 2026 | seriea |
Parma
Hellas Verona
|
Result | away | 3.55 | 33.5% | 0.326 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Feb 15, 2026 | seriea |
Cremonese
Genoa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Feb 15, 2026 | seriea |
Udinese
Sassuolo
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 15, 2026 | seriea |
Torino
Bologna
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.9% | 0.186 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.