Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.301 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Apr 15, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 50.0% | 0.266 | 0.87u | Won | +1.33u |
| Apr 14, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 50.0% | 0.371 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Apr 14, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 50.0% | 0.396 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Apr 13, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.181 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Apr 13, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 50.0% | 0.376 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Apr 11, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 50.0% | 0.326 | 0.99u | Won | +1.63u |
| Apr 11, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 50.0% | 0.281 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Apr 10, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 47.2% | 0.214 | 0.82u | Won | +1.07u |
| Apr 10, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.02 | 58.6% | 0.183 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Apr 10, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.8% | 0.242 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Apr 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.57 | 41.7% | 0.500 | 1.20u | Won | +1.88u |
| Apr 9, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 33.0% | 0.467 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Apr 9, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 44.0% | 0.226 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | seriea |
Torino
Internazionale
|
Home away | draw | 4.00 | 49.4% | 1.025 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 36.7% | 0.462 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 39.9% | 0.317 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.6% | 0.296 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | seriea |
SPAL
Atalanta
|
Home away | draw | 2.62 | 48.3% | 0.356 | 1.20u | Won | +1.94u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 53.1% | 0.217 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 41.7% | 0.323 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 44.9% | 0.285 | 1.07u | Won | +1.42u |
| Apr 6, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 29.9% | 0.564 | 1.20u | Won | +1.48u |
| Apr 6, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 39.7% | 0.362 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Apr 6, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 44.6% | 0.302 | 1.12u | Won | +1.51u |
| Apr 5, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.7% | 0.133 | 0.63u | Won | +0.66u |
| Apr 5, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 44.8% | 0.198 | 0.84u | Won | +0.98u |
| Apr 5, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 44.5% | 0.383 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 5, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.69 | 44.6% | 0.491 | 1.20u | Won | +2.03u |
| Apr 4, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 55.7% | 0.254 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Apr 4, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 17.6% | 0.762 | 1.20u | Won | +1.37u |
| Apr 4, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.5% | 0.331 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Apr 4, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 44.8% | 0.304 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Apr 3, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 33.7% | 0.398 | 0.65u | Won | +0.72u |
| Apr 3, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 50.9% | 0.405 | 1.15u | Won | +2.02u |
| Apr 2, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 57.6% | 0.618 | 0.60u | Won | +1.09u |
| Apr 2, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 3.26 | 42.6% | 0.871 | 1.20u | Won | +2.71u |
| Apr 2, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 44.5% | 0.327 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 1, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.62 | 43.1% | 0.491 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 1, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.57 | 36.5% | 0.633 | 1.20u | Won | +1.88u |
| Mar 31, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.7% | 0.205 | 0.76u | Won | +1.03u |
| Mar 31, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 44.9% | 0.332 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| Mar 31, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 45.2% | 0.370 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Mar 30, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 38.7% | 0.458 | 1.20u | Won | +1.66u |
| Mar 30, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 42.0% | 0.236 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Mar 29, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.68 | 43.5% | 0.515 | 1.20u | Won | +2.02u |
| Mar 29, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 42.2% | 0.474 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Mar 18, 2018 | seriea |
Crotone
AS Roma
|
Home draw | away | 3.60 | 37.0% | 1.266 | 1.20u | Won | +3.12u |
| Mar 18, 2018 | seriea |
Torino
Fiorentina
|
Draw away | home | 2.60 | 41.3% | 0.527 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 11, 2018 | seriea |
Sassuolo
SPAL
|
Draw away | home | 3.30 | 49.0% | 0.684 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 11, 2018 | seriea |
Bologna
Atalanta
|
Home draw | away | 2.35 | 48.6% | 0.207 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Feb 25, 2018 | seriea |
Crotone
SPAL
|
Home draw | away | 3.30 | 38.9% | 1.015 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Feb 25, 2018 | seriea |
Crotone
SPAL
|
Draw away | home | 2.30 | 27.5% | 0.668 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 18, 2018 | seriea |
Benevento
Crotone
|
Draw away | home | 4.75 | 49.3% | 1.410 | 1.20u | Won | +4.50u |
| Feb 17, 2018 | seriea |
Chievo Verona
Cagliari
|
Draw away | home | 3.30 | 49.8% | 0.658 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Feb 17, 2018 | seriea |
Udinese
AS Roma
|
Home draw | away | 3.75 | 34.4% | 1.461 | 1.20u | Won | +3.30u |
| Feb 10, 2018 | seriea |
SPAL
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 4.70 | 46.4% | 1.518 | 1.20u | Won | +4.44u |
| Feb 4, 2018 | seriea |
Atalanta
Chievo Verona
|
Draw away | home | 3.50 | 48.6% | 0.799 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Jan 28, 2018 | seriea |
Crotone
Cagliari
|
Draw away | home | 2.75 | 45.0% | 0.512 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 28, 2018 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
|
Draw away | home | 2.40 | 49.9% | 0.203 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 28, 2018 | seriea |
AS Roma
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | away | 2.80 | 41.4% | 0.641 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Dec 23, 2017 | seriea |
Lazio
Crotone
|
Home away | draw | 3.20 | 29.7% | 1.249 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 17, 2017 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Sassuolo
|
Home away | draw | 2.30 | 32.9% | 0.544 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 10, 2017 | seriea |
Udinese
Benevento
|
Home draw | away | 2.62 | 48.3% | 0.354 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 10, 2017 | seriea |
Napoli
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | away | 3.55 | 49.1% | 0.806 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 9, 2017 | seriea |
Juventus
Internazionale
|
Draw away | home | 4.00 | 48.3% | 1.070 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 4, 2017 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Genoa
|
Home draw | away | 2.30 | 49.2% | 0.168 | 0.30u | Won | +0.39u |
| Dec 4, 2017 | seriea |
Crotone
Udinese
|
Home draw | away | 2.10 | 41.4% | 0.231 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Dec 2, 2017 | seriea |
Torino
Atalanta
|
Home draw | away | 4.75 | 41.9% | 1.759 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 26, 2017 | seriea |
Lazio
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | away | 4.75 | 47.9% | 1.475 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 20, 2017 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Bologna
|
Home draw | away | 3.80 | 38.8% | 1.324 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Nov 19, 2017 | seriea |
SPAL
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | away | 2.05 | 43.3% | 0.163 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 19, 2017 | seriea |
Torino
Chievo Verona
|
Draw away | home | 3.85 | 48.5% | 0.982 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 4, 2017 | seriea |
Genoa
Sampdoria
|
Draw away | home | 2.45 | 6.5% | 1.292 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 29, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 33.8% | 0.615 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 17, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 51.0% | 0.408 | 1.16u | Won | +2.04u |
| Oct 14, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 50.8% | 0.398 | 1.14u | Won | +2.00u |
| Oct 13, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 51.5% | 0.144 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Oct 9, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 16.7% | 1.133 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Oct 7, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 70.6% | 0.864 | 1.20u | Won | +1.97u |
| Oct 7, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 52.3% | 0.307 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Oct 6, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 100.0% | 1.300 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Oct 6, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 76.9% | 1.069 | 0.60u | Won | +1.01u |
| Oct 5, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 76.9% | 1.069 | 1.20u | Won | +2.03u |
| Oct 5, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 70.6% | 0.779 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Oct 4, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 52.3% | 0.276 | 0.96u | Won | +1.38u |
| Oct 1, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 76.9% | 0.715 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Oct 1, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 70.6% | 0.751 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 30, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 16.7% | 1.058 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 30, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 76.9% | 1.062 | 1.20u | Won | +2.02u |
| Sep 29, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 70.6% | 0.828 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 29, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 70.6% | 0.737 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 28, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 76.9% | 0.969 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 28, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 76.9% | 0.908 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Sep 27, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 76.9% | 1.115 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Sep 27, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 70.6% | 0.602 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Sep 26, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 47.8% | 0.273 | 0.95u | Won | +1.37u |
| Sep 26, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.3% | 0.165 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Sep 26, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 49.6% | 0.155 | 0.22u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 25, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 50.8% | 0.377 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.