Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.28 | 46.3% | 0.223 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.07 | 31.6% | 0.416 | 0.17u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 52.5% | 0.191 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 1.85 | 31.6% | 0.264 | 0.28u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.23 | 46.3% | 0.197 | 0.13u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 3.10 | 46.3% | 0.663 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | away | 1.86 | 31.6% | 0.269 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 46.3% | 0.127 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Braves
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 62.8% | 0.130 | 0.79u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 31.6% | 0.847 | 0.28u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.63 | 46.3% | 0.948 | 0.26u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 3.41 | 31.6% | 1.333 | 0.54u | Won | +1.30u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.71 | 31.6% | 0.854 | 0.28u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.84 | 31.6% | 0.943 | 0.33u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.96 | 46.3% | 0.588 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.28 | 39.9% | 0.370 | 0.15u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 46.8% | 0.435 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home win | away | 3.49 | 31.6% | 1.388 | 0.40u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 4.34 | 31.6% | 1.970 | 0.65u | Won | +2.17u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 3.22 | 31.6% | 1.203 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.36 | 31.6% | 0.615 | 0.12u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 1.78 | 100.0% | 0.781 | 0.25u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.34 | 44.6% | 0.297 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.57 | 48.5% | 0.324 | 0.08u | Won | +0.13u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 46.3% | 0.583 | 0.15u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.90 | 100.0% | 0.901 | 0.54u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | away | 3.75 | 46.3% | 1.012 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | away | 3.49 | 46.3% | 0.873 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.86 | 46.3% | 0.535 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.68 | 100.0% | 0.676 | 0.35u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.28 | 47.5% | 0.198 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.63 | 48.3% | 0.360 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.29 | 49.3% | 0.161 | 0.09u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jul 23, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 3.32 | 46.3% | 0.782 | 1.20u | Won | +2.78u |
| Jul 23, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 50.2% | 0.251 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Oct 30, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.24 | 46.3% | 0.202 | 0.81u | Won | +1.00u |
| Oct 25, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 55.8% | 0.272 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Oct 23, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 49.5% | 0.287 | 0.93u | Won | +1.44u |
| Oct 18, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 57.2% | 0.276 | 1.12u | Won | +1.38u |
| Oct 17, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 59.9% | 0.119 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Oct 15, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 55.6% | 0.579 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 12, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.9% | 0.223 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Oct 8, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 58.1% | 0.649 | 1.20u | Won | +2.21u |
| Oct 7, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 57.9% | 0.193 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Oct 7, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.91 | 57.9% | 0.106 | 0.18u | Won | +0.16u |
| Oct 7, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 58.0% | 0.287 | 1.07u | Won | +1.31u |
| Oct 6, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 58.0% | 0.333 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 6, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 58.0% | 0.132 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 58.0% | 0.449 | 0.16u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 4.30 | 58.0% | 1.494 | 1.00u | Won | +3.30u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 57.9% | 0.564 | 0.22u | Won | +0.37u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 57.8% | 0.329 | 0.09u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 58.0% | 0.246 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 58.0% | 0.652 | 0.28u | Won | +0.52u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 58.0% | 0.740 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 58.0% | 0.478 | 0.14u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.60 | 58.0% | 1.087 | 0.46u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 58.0% | 0.971 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 58.0% | 1.029 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 57.9% | 0.419 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 58.0% | 0.536 | 0.10u | Won | +0.17u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.80 | 58.0% | 1.203 | 0.33u | Won | +0.92u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 58.0% | 1.435 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Indians
|
Home win | home | 4.10 | 57.9% | 1.374 | 0.40u | Won | +1.24u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.80 | 58.0% | 1.203 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 57.9% | 0.795 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 58.0% | 0.913 | 0.52u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.70 | 58.0% | 1.144 | 0.74u | Won | +2.00u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 58.0% | 0.478 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 58.0% | 0.362 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 58.1% | 0.481 | 0.20u | Won | +0.31u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 4.50 | 57.9% | 1.606 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 57.9% | 1.026 | 0.33u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 58.0% | 0.797 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 58.1% | 1.033 | 0.33u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 58.0% | 0.594 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 58.0% | 0.536 | 0.12u | Won | +0.20u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 50.2% | 0.507 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 50.2% | 0.607 | 0.17u | Won | +0.37u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 50.2% | 1.009 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 50.3% | 0.508 | 0.13u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 50.3% | 1.111 | 0.42u | Won | +1.34u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 4.70 | 50.2% | 1.361 | 0.59u | Won | +2.18u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.3% | 0.231 | 0.80u | Won | +1.16u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.2% | 0.331 | 0.81u | Won | +1.34u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 50.2% | 0.405 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 50.2% | 0.130 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.80 | 50.2% | 0.909 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 50.2% | 0.256 | 0.31u | Won | +0.47u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.2% | 0.181 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 4.30 | 50.2% | 1.158 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.3% | 0.181 | 0.12u | Won | +0.16u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 50.3% | 0.382 | 0.44u | Won | +0.77u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 50.3% | 0.081 | 0.35u | Won | +0.40u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.2% | 0.181 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.2% | 0.206 | 0.73u | Won | +1.02u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 50.2% | 0.254 | 0.85u | Won | +1.28u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 50.2% | 0.505 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.60 | 50.2% | 0.809 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 50.2% | 0.256 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.