Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 13, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	Home cover	away	2.41	42.3%	0.391	0.60u	Won	+0.85u
Jun 12, 2018	mlb	Yankees Nationals	Home cover	home	2.42	50.9%	0.233	0.82u	Won	+1.16u
Jun 11, 2018	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	Home cover	home	2.38	54.0%	0.286	1.03u	Lost	-1.03u
Jun 11, 2018	mlb	Marlins Giants	Home cover	away	2.38	48.0%	0.237	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Jun 10, 2018	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	Home cover	home	2.25	63.9%	0.438	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 10, 2018	mlb	Nationals Giants	Home cover	home	2.35	68.2%	0.602	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	Home cover	home	2.66	52.3%	0.392	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Marlins Padres	Home cover	home	2.07	58.9%	0.220	0.62u	Won	+0.66u
Jun 8, 2018	mlb	Cubs Pirates	Home cover	home	2.08	58.8%	0.222	0.60u	Won	+0.65u
Jun 8, 2018	mlb	Mets Yankees	Home cover	away	2.43	39.9%	0.460	1.20u	Won	+1.72u
Jun 7, 2018	mlb	Rangers Astros	Home cover	home	2.03	59.0%	0.197	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
Jun 6, 2018	mlb	Pirates Dodgers	Home cover	home	1.80	62.4%	0.123	0.62u	Won	+0.50u
Jun 6, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	Home cover	away	1.92	36.6%	0.216	1.18u	Won	+1.08u
Jun 5, 2018	mlb	Cubs Phillies	Home cover	home	2.57	57.0%	0.464	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 5, 2018	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	Home cover	home	2.64	51.4%	0.356	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 4, 2018	mlb	Angels Royals	Home cover	home	2.51	56.1%	0.407	1.20u	Won	+1.81u
Jun 3, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	Home cover	home	2.80	56.0%	0.568	1.20u	Won	+2.16u
Jun 3, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	Home cover	home	2.57	54.4%	0.399	0.60u	Won	+0.94u
Jun 2, 2018	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	Home cover	home	2.79	57.2%	0.595	1.20u	Won	+2.15u
Jun 2, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	Home cover	home	2.42	54.7%	0.323	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 1, 2018	mlb	Orioles Yankees	Home cover	home	2.77	58.6%	0.624	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 1, 2018	mlb	White Sox Brewers	Home cover	home	2.86	52.1%	0.490	0.60u	Won	+1.12u
May 31, 2018	mlb	Braves Nationals	Home cover	home	2.34	64.8%	0.516	1.20u	Won	+1.61u
May 31, 2018	mlb	Padres Marlins	Home cover	home	2.52	56.2%	0.417	0.60u	Won	+0.91u
May 30, 2018	mlb	Tigers Angels	Home cover	home	2.33	60.3%	0.405	1.20u	Won	+1.60u
May 30, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	Home cover	home	2.27	57.0%	0.294	0.60u	Won	+0.76u
May 29, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	Home cover	away	2.22	41.4%	0.301	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 29, 2018	mlb	Braves Mets	Home cover	away	2.44	43.3%	0.384	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 28, 2018	mlb	Padres Marlins	Home cover	away	2.48	37.6%	0.546	1.20u	Won	+1.78u
May 28, 2018	mlb	Rockies Giants	Home cover	home	2.61	50.1%	0.307	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 27, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Braves	Home cover	home	2.16	56.6%	0.223	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
May 27, 2018	mlb	Yankees Angels	Home cover	home	2.13	57.4%	0.222	0.84u	Won	+0.95u
May 26, 2018	mlb	Cubs Giants	Home cover	away	2.04	34.5%	0.336	0.60u	Won	+0.62u
May 26, 2018	mlb	Rockies Reds	Home cover	home	2.58	57.7%	0.489	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 25, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Padres	Home cover	home	2.25	62.8%	0.414	1.20u	Won	+1.50u
May 25, 2018	mlb	Rays Orioles	Home cover	away	2.12	38.5%	0.303	0.60u	Won	+0.67u
May 23, 2018	mlb	Rays Red Sox	Home cover	away	2.27	38.4%	0.397	1.20u	Won	+1.52u
May 23, 2018	mlb	Rangers Yankees	Home cover	home	2.35	53.2%	0.251	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 22, 2018	mlb	White Sox Orioles	Home cover	away	2.07	39.2%	0.258	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 22, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	Home cover	away	2.34	47.8%	0.221	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 21, 2018	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	Home cover	away	1.84	39.2%	0.119	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
May 21, 2018	mlb	Mets Marlins	Home cover	away	1.86	39.2%	0.132	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
May 20, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	Home cover	away	2.61	47.8%	0.362	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 20, 2018	mlb	Braves Marlins	Home cover	away	2.57	44.4%	0.428	1.20u	Won	+1.88u
May 19, 2018	mlb	Royals Yankees	Home cover	away	2.49	39.2%	0.514	1.20u	Won	+1.79u
May 19, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	Home cover	away	2.10	39.2%	0.277	0.60u	Won	+0.66u
May 18, 2018	mlb	Braves Marlins	Home cover	home	2.61	50.0%	0.305	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
May 18, 2018	mlb	Giants Rockies	Home cover	home	2.51	50.0%	0.255	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
May 17, 2018	mlb	Marlins Dodgers	Home cover	away	2.38	47.8%	0.242	0.88u	Won	+1.21u
May 16, 2018	mlb	Mets Blue Jays	Home cover	away	1.81	25.0%	0.360	0.60u	Won	+0.49u
May 16, 2018	mlb	Marlins Dodgers	Home cover	away	2.56	44.4%	0.422	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 15, 2018	mlb	Angels Astros	Home cover	away	1.89	39.2%	0.151	0.84u	Won	+0.75u
May 15, 2018	mlb	Twins Cardinals	Home cover	away	2.38	47.8%	0.242	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
May 14, 2018	mlb	Twins Mariners	Home cover	away	2.27	47.8%	0.184	0.73u	Won	+0.93u
May 13, 2018	seriea	Bologna Chievo Verona	Home draw	away	2.75	28.5%	0.966	1.20u	Won	+2.10u
May 13, 2018	mlb	Angels Twins	Home cover	away	2.32	39.2%	0.410	1.20u	Won	+1.58u
May 13, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	Home cover	away	2.30	39.2%	0.398	0.60u	Won	+0.78u
May 12, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	Home cover	away	2.04	39.2%	0.240	0.60u	Won	+0.62u
May 12, 2018	mlb	Pirates Giants	Home cover	away	2.39	39.2%	0.453	1.20u	Won	+1.67u
May 11, 2018	mlb	Indians Royals	Home cover	away	2.14	39.2%	0.301	0.60u	Won	+0.68u
May 11, 2018	mlb	Pirates Giants	Home cover	away	2.18	39.2%	0.325	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 9, 2018	mlb	Reds Mets	Home cover	away	2.39	39.2%	0.453	1.20u	Won	+1.67u
May 6, 2018	mlb	Brewers Pirates	Home cover	away	2.03	43.2%	0.153	0.74u	Won	+0.76u
May 5, 2018	mlb	Reds Marlins	Home cover	away	2.45	43.2%	0.391	1.20u	Won	+1.74u
May 4, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Astros	Home cover	away	1.97	43.2%	0.119	0.61u	Won	+0.59u
May 3, 2018	mlb	Mariners Athletics	Home cover	away	1.97	43.2%	0.119	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 3, 2018	mlb	Indians Blue Jays	Home cover	away	2.30	43.2%	0.306	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
May 2, 2018	mlb	Tigers Rays	Home cover	away	2.54	43.2%	0.442	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 2, 2018	mlb	Cubs Rockies	Home cover	away	2.42	43.2%	0.374	0.60u	Won	+0.85u
May 1, 2018	mlb	Mariners Athletics	Home cover	away	2.54	43.2%	0.442	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 1, 2018	mlb	Mets Braves	Home cover	away	2.33	43.2%	0.323	0.60u	Won	+0.80u
Apr 30, 2018	mlb	Cubs Rockies	Home cover	away	2.22	43.2%	0.260	0.60u	Won	+0.73u
Apr 30, 2018	mlb	Giants Padres	Home cover	away	2.34	43.2%	0.329	1.20u	Won	+1.61u
Apr 29, 2018	seriea	Torino Lazio	Home draw	away	3.45	49.6%	0.740	1.20u	Won	+2.94u
Apr 29, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Rangers	Home cover	away	2.40	43.2%	0.363	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 29, 2018	mlb	Astros Athletics	Home cover	away	2.29	43.2%	0.300	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 28, 2018	mlb	Astros Athletics	Home cover	away	2.44	43.2%	0.385	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 28, 2018	mlb	Giants Dodgers	Home cover	away	2.48	43.2%	0.408	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 27, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Rays	Home cover	away	2.29	43.2%	0.300	1.16u	Won	+1.50u
Apr 27, 2018	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	Home cover	away	2.24	43.2%	0.272	0.64u	Won	+0.79u
Apr 26, 2018	mlb	Indians Mariners	Home cover	away	2.00	43.2%	0.136	0.68u	Won	+0.68u
Apr 26, 2018	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	Home cover	away	2.20	43.2%	0.249	1.04u	Won	+1.25u
Apr 25, 2018	mlb	White Sox Mariners	Home cover	away	2.45	43.2%	0.391	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 25, 2018	mlb	Rockies Padres	Home cover	away	2.43	43.2%	0.379	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 24, 2018	mlb	Royals Brewers	Home cover	home	2.89	50.0%	0.445	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
Apr 24, 2018	mlb	Giants Nationals	Home cover	away	2.61	50.0%	0.305	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Orioles Indians	Home cover	home	2.69	50.1%	0.347	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	Home cover	home	2.77	50.0%	0.386	1.09u	Won	+1.93u
Apr 21, 2018	seriea	AC Milan Benevento	Home away	draw	3.40	41.6%	0.984	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Rays Twins	Home cover	home	2.62	50.0%	0.310	0.96u	Won	+1.56u
Apr 20, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	Home cover	home	2.79	50.0%	0.396	1.11u	Lost	-1.11u
Apr 20, 2018	mlb	Tigers Royals	Home cover	home	2.75	50.0%	0.376	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Apr 19, 2018	mlb	Angels Red Sox	Home cover	home	2.76	50.0%	0.381	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 19, 2018	mlb	Braves Mets	Home cover	home	3.08	50.0%	0.541	1.20u	Won	+2.50u
Apr 18, 2018	seriea	SPAL Chievo Verona	Home draw	away	2.30	44.7%	0.271	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Angels Red Sox	Home cover	home	2.73	50.1%	0.367	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Royals	Home cover	home	2.85	50.0%	0.425	1.15u	Won	+2.13u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Yankees Marlins	Home cover	home	2.81	50.2%	0.410	1.13u	Lost	-1.13u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Royals	Home cover	home	2.63	50.0%	0.315	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Apr 16, 2018	mlb	Athletics White Sox	Home cover	home	2.64	50.0%	0.320	0.98u	Won	+1.61u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.