Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 50.2% | 0.381 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.2% | 0.231 | 0.08u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 50.2% | 1.009 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 50.2% | 0.557 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 5.00 | 50.2% | 1.512 | 0.85u | Won | +3.40u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 4.80 | 50.2% | 1.411 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.2% | 0.331 | 0.13u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 50.3% | 0.759 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 50.2% | 1.110 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 50.2% | 0.457 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.2% | 0.331 | 0.07u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 50.3% | 0.759 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 50.2% | 1.110 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 50.3% | 1.011 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Reds
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 50.2% | 1.010 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.2% | 0.281 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.2% | 0.281 | 0.17u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 50.2% | 0.555 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.3% | 0.332 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 50.3% | 0.357 | 0.26u | Won | +0.44u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 50.3% | 0.458 | 0.36u | Won | +0.68u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 50.2% | 0.405 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 57.7% | 0.615 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 60.0% | 0.560 | 0.23u | Won | +0.37u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 57.7% | 0.587 | 0.24u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 1.74 | 100.0% | 0.741 | 0.62u | Won | +0.46u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 33.3% | 0.467 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 60.0% | 0.560 | 0.23u | Won | +0.37u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 54.5% | 0.909 | 0.42u | Won | +1.05u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 47.1% | 0.482 | 0.15u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 3.90 | 57.7% | 1.250 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.90 | 47.1% | 1.065 | 0.51u | Won | +1.48u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 60.0% | 0.500 | 0.13u | Won | +0.20u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 57.7% | 0.385 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 4.30 | 57.7% | 1.481 | 0.61u | Won | +2.01u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 3.70 | 47.1% | 0.959 | 0.30u | Won | +0.81u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 33.3% | 0.533 | 0.16u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 76.5% | 1.065 | 0.52u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 33.3% | 0.567 | 0.20u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 33.3% | 0.900 | 0.40u | Won | +0.74u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 76.5% | 1.103 | 0.63u | Won | +1.10u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Royals
|
Home win | away | 4.20 | 47.1% | 1.224 | 0.50u | Won | +1.60u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 47.1% | 0.271 | 0.08u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home win | away | 3.10 | 47.1% | 0.641 | 0.33u | Won | +0.69u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 3.40 | 33.3% | 1.267 | 1.09u | Won | +2.62u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 60.0% | 0.350 | 0.14u | Won | +0.18u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 1.69 | 76.5% | 0.292 | 0.12u | Won | +0.08u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 76.5% | 0.493 | 0.27u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 33.3% | 0.467 | 0.22u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.60 | 33.3% | 1.400 | 1.14u | Won | +2.96u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 1.71 | 76.5% | 0.311 | 0.12u | Won | +0.09u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 60.0% | 0.200 | 0.08u | Won | +0.08u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 76.5% | 0.493 | 0.47u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 4.40 | 47.1% | 1.329 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 76.5% | 0.353 | 0.07u | Won | +0.05u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | away | 4.10 | 47.1% | 1.171 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home win | away | 5.00 | 47.1% | 1.647 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 47.1% | 0.403 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 3.30 | 33.3% | 1.200 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.50 | 33.3% | 1.333 | 0.48u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 60.0% | 1.100 | 0.48u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 60.0% | 0.920 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Astros
|
Home win | away | 3.50 | 47.1% | 0.853 | 0.30u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.0% | 0.320 | 0.07u | Won | +0.08u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 33.3% | 0.833 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.30 | 47.1% | 0.747 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 4.60 | 60.0% | 1.760 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.60 | 47.1% | 0.906 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 33.3% | 0.700 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 33.3% | 0.400 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 4.30 | 33.3% | 1.867 | 0.70u | Won | +2.31u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home win | away | 1.83 | 33.3% | 0.222 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 60.0% | 0.290 | 0.16u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 57.7% | 0.356 | 0.20u | Won | +0.27u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 60.0% | 0.440 | 0.31u | Won | +0.43u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 76.5% | 0.721 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 60.0% | 0.230 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.90 | 33.3% | 0.933 | 0.49u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 60.0% | 1.400 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 60.0% | 0.290 | 0.06u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 57.7% | 0.962 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 5.00 | 57.7% | 1.885 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 47.1% | 0.429 | 0.36u | Won | +0.61u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 1.91 | 33.3% | 0.273 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 4.30 | 33.3% | 1.867 | 0.81u | Won | +2.67u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 47.1% | 0.377 | 0.06u | Won | +0.10u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 4.90 | 57.7% | 1.827 | 0.65u | Won | +2.54u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 54.5% | 0.855 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 57.7% | 0.385 | 0.06u | Won | +0.08u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 52.7% | 1.215 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 53.5% | 0.819 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.90 | 53.9% | 1.102 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 55.7% | 0.364 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 55.7% | 0.142 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 56.2% | 0.434 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.7% | 0.271 | 0.19u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 53.3% | 0.439 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 52.6% | 0.684 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Aug 25, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 56.6% | 0.190 | 0.20u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 25, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 59.2% | 0.952 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.