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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
18.3%
EV/u
0.651
Stake
1.02u
Won +1.48u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.9%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.54u
Won +0.95u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.57u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.98u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
65.6%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.89u
Lost -0.89u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.82u
Lost -0.82u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
68.3%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
1.74
Prob
15.7%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.80u
Won +0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.558
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.734
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
69.3%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.824
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.51u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.47u
Won +1.32u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
1.50u
Won +2.63u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.381
Stake
1.15u
Won +2.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
1.69
Prob
74.8%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.47u
Won +0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
76.6%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.82u
Won +0.82u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.88u
Lost -0.88u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.47u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.901
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.65u
Lost -0.65u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.459
Stake
0.87u
Lost -0.87u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.39u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.