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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.86u
Won +1.72u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.81u
Lost -0.81u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.529
Stake
0.67u
Won +1.91u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.49u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.98u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.74u
Won +1.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.60u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.58u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
1.87
Prob
14.4%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.70u
Won +1.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
1.02u
Won +1.84u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
23.4%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.97u
Won +1.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.70u
Won +1.05u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
0.90u
Lost -0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.