Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.83u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.95u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.70u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.53u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.6%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.96u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.7%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.62u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.81u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
61.0%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.6%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.70u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.53u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.499
Stake
1.41u
Lost
-1.41u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.96u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.572
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.68u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
28.2%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.8%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.90u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.7%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
62.6%
EV/u
0.420
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.452
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.81u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.56u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.