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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.1%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.43u
Won +1.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.85u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.79u
Lost -0.79u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.7%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.5%
EV/u
0.388
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
25.8%
EV/u
0.480
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.74u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.492
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
24.6%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.7%
EV/u
0.372
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.3%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.1%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
0.72u
Won +2.02u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.47u
Won +0.94u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.94u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.88u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.9%
EV/u
0.575
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.68u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.9%
EV/u
0.572
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.65u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.65u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
20.4%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.616
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.65
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.649
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
1.67
Prob
10.7%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.6%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
1.74
Prob
64.4%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
1.83
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.573
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.79u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
1.56
Prob
71.5%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
1.54
Prob
72.7%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.4%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.