Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 4:21 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Astros Royals	First3 result	away	2.25	49.7%	0.132	0.18u	Won	+0.23u
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Marlins Brewers	First3 result	away	3.05	39.5%	0.216	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	away	3.25	51.3%	0.171	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Padres Cardinals	First3 result	home	3.40	44.5%	0.513	0.94u	Won	+2.26u
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Nationals Braves	First3 result	away	2.55	57.7%	0.080	0.07u	Lost	-0.07u
Sep 23, 2023	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	First3 result	away	2.75	40.9%	0.056	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Sep 23, 2023	mlb	Athletics Tigers	First3 result	away	2.70	43.5%	0.526	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 23, 2023	mlb	Astros Royals	First3 result	away	2.90	42.5%	0.082	0.22u	Won	+0.42u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	3.10	40.7%	0.262	0.62u	Won	+1.30u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Guardians Orioles	First3 result	away	2.90	47.6%	0.161	0.40u	Won	+0.76u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Reds Pirates	First3 result	home	2.35	45.5%	0.069	0.16u	Won	+0.22u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First3 result	away	3.20	40.2%	0.274	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Sep 21, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	away	3.30	47.3%	0.329	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 21, 2023	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	home	3.20	53.4%	0.707	1.20u	Won	+2.64u
Sep 20, 2023	mlb	Rangers Red Sox	First3 result	home	3.15	49.4%	0.556	1.20u	Won	+2.58u
Sep 20, 2023	mlb	Reds Twins	First3 result	away	2.15	47.3%	0.133	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Sep 20, 2023	mlb	Padres Rockies	First3 result	away	3.15	51.1%	0.142	0.26u	Won	+0.56u
Sep 19, 2023	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	away	3.15	37.9%	0.114	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Sep 19, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First3 result	home	2.90	47.6%	0.380	1.00u	Won	+1.90u
Sep 19, 2023	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.45	37.9%	0.219	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Sep 18, 2023	mlb	Reds Twins	First3 result	away	3.20	37.9%	0.132	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Sep 17, 2023	mlb	Marlins Braves	First3 result	away	3.40	37.9%	0.202	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Sep 17, 2023	mlb	Mariners Dodgers	First3 result	home	3.00	37.9%	0.137	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Sep 16, 2023	mlb	Pirates Yankees	First3 result	home	2.85	37.9%	0.080	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Sep 16, 2023	mlb	Rockies Giants	First3 result	away	3.25	37.9%	0.149	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Sep 15, 2023	mlb	Angels Tigers	First3 result	home	2.85	37.9%	0.080	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Sep 13, 2023	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.637	1.14u	Lost	-1.14u
Sep 13, 2023	mlb	Orioles Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.35	37.9%	0.185	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Sep 12, 2023	mlb	Rockies Cubs	First3 result	away	3.40	37.9%	0.202	0.42u	Won	+1.01u
Sep 11, 2023	mlb	Twins Rays	First3 result	away	3.40	37.9%	0.202	0.42u	Won	+1.01u
Sep 10, 2023	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	away	3.05	37.9%	0.078	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Sep 10, 2023	mlb	Rays Mariners	First3 result	away	3.15	37.9%	0.114	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Sep 10, 2023	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.80	37.9%	0.062	0.17u	Won	+0.31u
Sep 9, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First3 result	away	3.25	37.9%	0.149	0.33u	Won	+0.74u
Sep 9, 2023	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	away	3.60	47.6%	0.075	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Sep 9, 2023	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.85	37.9%	0.080	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Sep 9, 2023	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.00	37.9%	0.061	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Sep 8, 2023	mlb	Angels Guardians	First3 result	away	3.10	37.9%	0.096	0.23u	Won	+0.48u
Sep 8, 2023	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	away	3.20	37.9%	0.132	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Sep 7, 2023	mlb	Rays Mariners	First3 result	away	3.70	37.9%	0.309	0.57u	Won	+1.54u
Sep 6, 2023	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	away	3.75	37.9%	0.326	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Sep 5, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	home	2.60	50.7%	0.317	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Sep 5, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.0%	0.269	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Sep 5, 2023	mlb	Marlins Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.285	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Sep 5, 2023	mlb	Guardians Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.281	0.23u	Won	+0.64u
Sep 5, 2023	mlb	Athletics Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.1%	0.263	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Sep 5, 2023	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First3 result	away	3.15	22.7%	0.406	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Sep 4, 2023	mlb	Angels Orioles	First3 result	home	2.60	44.0%	0.145	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Sep 4, 2023	mlb	Reds Mariners	First3 result	home	2.65	50.9%	0.349	0.60u	Won	+0.99u
Sep 4, 2023	mlb	Cubs Giants	First3 result	home	2.65	43.9%	0.164	0.19u	Won	+0.31u
Sep 4, 2023	mlb	Athletics Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.278	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
Sep 4, 2023	mlb	Padres Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.0%	0.273	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Sep 4, 2023	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	home	2.30	51.2%	0.178	0.25u	Won	+0.33u
Sep 3, 2023	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.631	0.70u	Won	+1.96u
Sep 3, 2023	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.0%	0.276	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 3, 2023	mlb	Brewers Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.0%	0.276	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 3, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.280	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 3, 2023	mlb	Rockies Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.65	51.0%	0.351	0.37u	Won	+0.61u
Sep 3, 2023	mlb	Padres Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.3%	0.272	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 2, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.2%	0.251	0.41u	Won	+1.15u
Sep 2, 2023	mlb	Rangers Twins	First3 result	home	2.50	51.2%	0.281	0.72u	Won	+1.08u
Sep 2, 2023	mlb	Brewers Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.089	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
Sep 2, 2023	mlb	Mets Mariners	First3 result	home	2.10	51.1%	0.073	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Sep 2, 2023	mlb	Guardians Rays	First3 result	home	2.75	44.3%	0.217	0.45u	Won	+0.79u
Sep 1, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	home	2.70	51.1%	0.380	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Sep 1, 2023	mlb	Reds Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.282	0.26u	Won	+0.73u
Sep 1, 2023	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First3 result	home	2.45	51.1%	0.252	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Sep 1, 2023	mlb	Brewers Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.1%	0.263	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Sep 1, 2023	mlb	Padres Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.0%	0.276	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Sep 1, 2023	mlb	Reds Cubs	First3 result	home	2.70	42.2%	0.139	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Aug 31, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.4%	0.261	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Aug 30, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.50	44.3%	0.107	0.07u	Won	+0.11u
Aug 30, 2023	mlb	Twins Guardians	First3 result	home	2.90	51.0%	0.479	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Aug 30, 2023	mlb	Tigers Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.599	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Aug 30, 2023	mlb	Royals Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.3%	0.276	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Aug 30, 2023	mlb	Marlins Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.7%	0.244	0.15u	Won	+0.42u
Aug 30, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Nationals	First3 result	home	2.70	44.4%	0.199	0.16u	Won	+0.27u
Aug 29, 2023	mlb	Orioles White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.4%	0.263	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Aug 29, 2023	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	home	2.15	51.1%	0.098	0.17u	Won	+0.20u
Aug 29, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.8%	0.289	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Aug 29, 2023	mlb	Mets Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.6%	0.247	0.36u	Won	+1.01u
Aug 29, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.281	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Aug 28, 2023	mlb	Phillies Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.4%	0.267	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
Aug 28, 2023	mlb	Giants Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.6%	0.252	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Aug 28, 2023	mlb	Twins Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.1%	0.260	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Aug 28, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First3 result	home	2.95	50.9%	0.500	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Aug 28, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Padres	First3 result	away	3.05	21.0%	0.387	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Aug 28, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Nationals	First3 result	home	2.70	50.9%	0.375	0.39u	Won	+0.66u
Aug 27, 2023	mlb	Tigers Astros	First3 result	home	2.45	44.1%	0.081	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Aug 27, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.5%	0.313	0.56u	Won	+1.57u
Aug 27, 2023	mlb	Twins Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.8%	0.290	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Aug 27, 2023	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First3 result	home	2.15	50.8%	0.092	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Aug 26, 2023	mlb	Mets Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.605	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Aug 26, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Guardians	First3 result	home	2.60	51.0%	0.327	0.30u	Won	+0.48u
Aug 26, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rockies	First3 result	away	3.50	42.0%	0.162	0.08u	Won	+0.20u
Aug 26, 2023	mlb	Brewers Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.612	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Aug 26, 2023	mlb	Twins Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.7%	0.245	0.13u	Won	+0.36u
Aug 26, 2023	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.5%	0.255	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Aug 25, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First3 result	away	2.95	21.1%	0.344	0.35u	Won	+0.68u
Aug 25, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.626	0.73u	Won	+2.04u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.