Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.69u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
American All-Stars
National All-Stars
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.78u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.49u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.65u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.399
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.70u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.81u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.95u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.90u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.78u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.92u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.78u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.81u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.37u
Won
+1.04u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.90u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.335
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.62u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.92u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.98u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.90u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.70u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.78u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.