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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.94u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.459
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.65u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.82u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.479
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.452
Stake
0.39u
Won +1.09u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.518
Stake
0.41u
Won +1.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.443
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.87u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.627
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.73u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.87u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.404
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.438
Stake
0.40u
Won +1.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.356
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.616
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.399
Stake
0.38u
Won +1.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.95u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.79u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.575
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.677
Stake
0.43u
Won +1.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.87u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.2%
EV/u
0.582
Stake
0.75u
Won +2.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.