Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:57 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 8, 2024	mlb	Royals Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.355	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Twins Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Phillies Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.4%	0.336	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Reds Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.9%	0.360	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Braves Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.354	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Rays White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Cubs Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Twins Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Pirates Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.342	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Rays White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.154	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.171	0.27u	Won	+0.76u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Twins Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.157	0.23u	Won	+0.64u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Phillies Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.162	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Reds Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.156	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Twins Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.157	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Pirates Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Yankees Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.6%	0.325	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Rays Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.4%	0.332	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Royals Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.343	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.343	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Twins Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.343	0.34u	Won	+0.95u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Cardinals White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Pirates Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.7%	0.320	0.31u	Won	+0.87u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Royals Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.157	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Guardians Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Reds Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Cardinals White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Yankees Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.355	0.31u	Won	+0.87u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Rays Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Mets Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.159	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Astros Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.346	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.166	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.5%	0.131	0.22u	Won	+0.62u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Rangers Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.096	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Mets Cubs	First3 result	home	2.90	39.5%	0.147	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Padres Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.346	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.11u	Won	+0.31u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Athletics Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Brewers Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.7%	0.321	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Apr 30, 2024	mlb	Athletics Pirates	First3 result	away	2.40	30.0%	0.189	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Apr 30, 2024	mlb	Tigers Cardinals	First3 result	away	2.35	32.5%	0.123	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Apr 29, 2024	mlb	Mets Cubs	First3 result	away	2.30	31.8%	0.110	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Apr 29, 2024	mlb	Brewers Rays	First3 result	away	2.40	34.3%	0.115	0.41u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 28, 2024	mlb	Mariners Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	2.35	29.4%	0.174	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Apr 28, 2024	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	away	2.30	33.5%	0.083	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 27, 2024	mlb	Rockies Astros	First3 result	home	2.80	43.9%	0.230	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Apr 27, 2024	mlb	Angels Twins	First3 result	away	2.30	30.9%	0.124	0.36u	Won	+0.47u
Apr 27, 2024	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	away	2.70	33.3%	0.274	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Apr 26, 2024	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	home	2.70	44.7%	0.206	0.61u	Won	+1.04u
Apr 25, 2024	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	home	2.55	42.1%	0.075	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 25, 2024	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First3 result	away	2.80	32.9%	0.328	0.91u	Won	+1.64u
Apr 24, 2024	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First3 result	away	2.80	37.0%	0.147	0.41u	Won	+0.74u
Apr 23, 2024	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	away	3.10	31.1%	0.512	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Apr 23, 2024	mlb	Cubs Astros	First3 result	away	3.30	30.3%	0.627	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Apr 23, 2024	mlb	Braves Marlins	First3 result	away	2.75	32.4%	0.316	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Apr 23, 2024	mlb	Reds Phillies	First3 result	away	2.20	29.3%	0.100	0.07u	Lost	-0.07u
Apr 22, 2024	mlb	Braves Marlins	First3 result	away	2.30	33.2%	0.087	0.06u	Lost	-0.06u
Apr 22, 2024	mlb	Reds Phillies	First3 result	away	3.10	33.5%	0.460	0.54u	Won	+1.13u
Apr 22, 2024	mlb	Royals Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.70	9.8%	1.216	1.20u	Won	+2.04u
Apr 21, 2024	mlb	Reds Angels	First3 result	home	2.45	45.1%	0.106	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
Apr 21, 2024	mlb	Phillies White Sox	First3 result	away	3.35	29.3%	0.677	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
Apr 21, 2024	mlb	Twins Tigers	First3 result	away	2.30	30.0%	0.139	0.14u	Won	+0.18u
Apr 21, 2024	mlb	Nationals Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.9%	0.297	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Apr 21, 2024	mlb	Braves Rangers	First3 result	away	2.35	32.8%	0.117	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Apr 20, 2024	mlb	Pirates Red Sox	First3 result	away	2.50	33.4%	0.179	0.60u	Won	+0.90u
Apr 20, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First3 result	away	4.00	32.1%	0.921	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Phillies White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	66.8%	0.263	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Twins Tigers	First3 result	away	2.45	30.7%	0.201	0.23u	Won	+0.33u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Nationals Astros	First3 result	home	2.30	46.4%	0.067	0.06u	Lost	-0.06u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First3 result	away	2.65	12.6%	1.107	1.20u	Won	+1.98u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Yankees Rays	First3 result	away	2.30	32.6%	0.096	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
Apr 17, 2024	mlb	Tigers Rangers	First3 result	away	2.85	30.9%	0.393	1.06u	Lost	-1.06u
Apr 16, 2024	mlb	Rays Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.392	0.70u	Won	+1.96u
Apr 16, 2024	mlb	Astros Braves	First3 result	away	3.25	45.4%	0.369	0.82u	Won	+1.85u
Apr 16, 2024	mlb	Marlins Giants	First3 result	away	3.05	40.5%	0.144	0.28u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Rays Angels	First3 result	away	3.25	39.2%	0.176	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.5%	0.651	1.16u	Won	+3.25u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	13.0%	0.220	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Mets Pirates	First3 result	home	2.50	44.2%	0.104	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Brewers Padres	First3 result	away	3.05	40.5%	0.145	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Rockies	First3 result	home	2.05	55.7%	0.141	0.65u	Won	+0.68u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	away	2.85	43.6%	0.060	0.16u	Won	+0.30u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Rays Giants	First3 result	away	3.10	42.6%	0.120	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Athletics Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.392	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Apr 13, 2024	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	home	2.15	55.8%	0.199	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Mariners Cubs	First3 result	home	2.65	45.4%	0.204	0.28u	Won	+0.46u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Orioles Brewers	First3 result	away	3.10	47.5%	0.256	0.34u	Won	+0.71u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.581	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Rays Giants	First3 result	away	2.65	45.3%	0.119	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Apr 11, 2024	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.394	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 11, 2024	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	8.4%	1.143	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	away	3.05	39.2%	0.104	0.11u	Won	+0.23u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.393	0.65u	Won	+1.82u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Angels Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.584	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.