Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.41u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.61u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.66u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.58u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.58u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.79u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.77u
Won
+1.77u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.526
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
26.3%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
1.093
Stake
0.33u
Won
+1.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.335
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.450
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.8%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.8%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.9%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.6%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.4%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.54u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.430
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.40u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.43u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.59u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
0.842
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.381
Stake
0.84u
Won
+1.47u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.1%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.5%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
22.8%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.95u
Won
+1.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.7%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
25.7%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
23.8%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
25.9%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.94u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
59.4%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
56.4%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.56u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.5%
EV/u
0.514
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.47u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.53u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.55u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.