Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:55 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 6, 2024	mlb	Yankees Twins	First3 result	home	2.95	45.0%	0.327	0.84u	Won	+1.64u
Jun 5, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Braves	First3 result	home	2.50	44.5%	0.112	0.37u	Won	+0.56u
Jun 5, 2024	mlb	Cubs White Sox	First3 result	away	2.50	33.8%	0.125	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Jun 4, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First3 result	away	2.40	33.8%	0.081	0.29u	Won	+0.41u
Jun 2, 2024	mlb	Mariners Angels	First3 result	away	2.40	33.9%	0.079	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
Jun 2, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	away	2.50	33.8%	0.125	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jun 2, 2024	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First3 result	away	2.70	33.8%	0.215	0.34u	Won	+0.58u
Jun 2, 2024	mlb	Guardians Nationals	First3 result	away	3.80	34.0%	0.706	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Jun 1, 2024	mlb	Mariners Angels	First3 result	away	2.40	33.8%	0.080	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Jun 1, 2024	mlb	Giants Yankees	First3 result	away	2.45	33.8%	0.104	0.36u	Won	+0.52u
May 31, 2024	mlb	Brewers White Sox	First3 result	away	2.45	33.9%	0.102	0.17u	Won	+0.25u
May 31, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	away	3.00	33.6%	0.355	0.88u	Won	+1.76u
May 31, 2024	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First3 result	away	2.80	33.8%	0.260	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 31, 2024	mlb	Guardians Nationals	First3 result	away	2.45	33.9%	0.101	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 30, 2024	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	away	2.35	33.9%	0.057	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 29, 2024	mlb	Mariners Astros	First3 result	away	2.55	33.8%	0.148	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
May 29, 2024	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First3 result	home	2.65	44.8%	0.188	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
May 28, 2024	mlb	Twins Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.5%	0.313	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 28, 2024	mlb	Angels Yankees	First3 result	home	2.15	52.6%	0.131	0.10u	Won	+0.12u
May 28, 2024	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.20	12.6%	1.583	1.20u	Won	+2.64u
May 28, 2024	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	home	2.90	43.6%	0.264	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 28, 2024	mlb	Mets Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.60	43.5%	0.131	0.08u	Won	+0.13u
May 27, 2024	mlb	Rockies Guardians	First3 result	home	2.75	52.7%	0.448	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 27, 2024	mlb	White Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.80	37.5%	0.191	0.53u	Won	+0.95u
May 26, 2024	mlb	Pirates Braves	First3 result	home	2.75	52.5%	0.444	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
May 26, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	First3 result	home	2.05	65.5%	0.343	0.62u	Won	+0.65u
May 26, 2024	mlb	Angels Guardians	First3 result	home	2.55	43.5%	0.109	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
May 26, 2024	mlb	Padres Yankees	First3 result	home	2.80	43.6%	0.219	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 26, 2024	mlb	Twins Rangers	First3 result	home	2.50	43.7%	0.092	0.07u	Lost	-0.07u
May 26, 2024	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	First3 result	home	3.00	37.4%	0.122	0.09u	Won	+0.18u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Pirates Braves	First3 result	home	2.50	43.5%	0.087	0.22u	Won	+0.33u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.4%	0.315	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Twins Rangers	First3 result	home	3.20	37.5%	0.202	0.46u	Won	+1.01u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.4%	0.315	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Pirates Braves	First3 result	home	2.00	52.7%	0.054	0.23u	Won	+0.23u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First3 result	home	2.55	43.5%	0.109	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First3 result	home	2.45	43.6%	0.068	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Mets Giants	First3 result	home	2.80	43.5%	0.219	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	First3 result	home	3.10	37.4%	0.161	0.38u	Won	+0.80u
May 23, 2024	mlb	White Sox Orioles	First3 result	away	2.70	37.5%	0.149	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
May 23, 2024	mlb	Pirates Giants	First3 result	home	3.00	43.6%	0.308	0.77u	Won	+1.54u
May 22, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.10	65.3%	0.372	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 22, 2024	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.70	43.5%	0.233	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 21, 2024	mlb	Guardians Mets	First3 result	home	2.50	43.7%	0.092	0.31u	Won	+0.47u
May 21, 2024	mlb	Reds Padres	First3 result	home	2.40	65.5%	0.571	1.20u	Won	+1.68u
May 20, 2024	mlb	Marlins Brewers	First3 result	away	2.90	37.5%	0.234	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
May 20, 2024	mlb	Nationals Twins	First3 result	home	2.30	52.6%	0.210	0.54u	Won	+0.70u
May 20, 2024	mlb	Braves Padres	First3 result	away	3.10	37.5%	0.318	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
May 19, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Red Sox	First3 result	away	2.05	12.6%	0.654	1.20u	Won	+1.26u
May 19, 2024	mlb	Braves Padres	First3 result	away	3.00	37.6%	0.275	0.37u	Won	+0.74u
May 19, 2024	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	away	3.70	43.6%	0.232	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 18, 2024	mlb	Yankees White Sox	First3 result	away	3.40	43.6%	0.132	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 18, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First3 result	away	2.55	37.5%	0.085	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 18, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Tigers	First3 result	away	2.75	37.5%	0.170	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Yankees White Sox	First3 result	away	3.35	43.9%	0.111	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.5%	0.313	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Royals Athletics	First3 result	away	2.65	37.5%	0.127	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	away	2.80	37.5%	0.192	0.53u	Won	+0.95u
May 16, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First3 result	away	3.50	37.5%	0.490	0.98u	Won	+2.45u
May 15, 2024	mlb	Rangers Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.5%	0.311	0.56u	Won	+1.57u
May 15, 2024	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	home	2.05	52.5%	0.076	0.36u	Won	+0.38u
May 14, 2024	mlb	Braves Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 14, 2024	mlb	Padres Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
May 14, 2024	mlb	Tigers Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.8%	0.363	0.61u	Won	+1.71u
May 14, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 14, 2024	mlb	White Sox Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
May 14, 2024	mlb	White Sox Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Braves Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.11u	Won	+0.31u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Rangers Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.43u	Won	+1.20u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Mariners Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.166	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.85	47.1%	0.341	0.55u	Won	+1.02u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Astros Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.9%	0.171	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Orioles Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.8%	0.361	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Giants Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.9%	0.165	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
May 12, 2024	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.157	0.08u	Lost	-0.08u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	56.4%	0.655	0.79u	Won	+2.21u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 11, 2024	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.8%	0.366	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Tigers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.157	0.12u	Won	+0.34u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Rockies Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Mets Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.142	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Giants Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	55.8%	0.679	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
May 10, 2024	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.12u	Won	+0.34u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.143	0.12u	Won	+0.34u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.148	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Reds Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.158	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 9, 2024	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.142	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Yankees Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Angels Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.157	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Rockies Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.143	0.22u	Won	+0.62u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Nationals Orioles	First3 result	away	3.15	26.1%	0.740	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Rays White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Yankees Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.