Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.62u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.723
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
1.095
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.334
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.467
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.468
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.68u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.54u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.430
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.54u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.5%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.9%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.85u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.81u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.455
Stake
1.02u
Lost
-1.02u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.72u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.72u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.79u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.03u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.89u
Won
+1.91u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.78u
Lost
-0.78u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.86u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.86u
Won
+1.81u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
28.2%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.59u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.70u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.756
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.666
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.37u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.44u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.456
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.457
Stake
1.03u
Lost
-1.03u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.