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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.36u
Won +1.01u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.54u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.81u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.499
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.424
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.73u
Won +0.99u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
1.094
Stake
0.37u
Won +1.04u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.507
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.54u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.63u
Won +0.72u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.582
Stake
0.46u
Won +1.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.723
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.60u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.590
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
1.87
Prob
18.9%
EV/u
0.311
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.582
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
25.6%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
1.07u
Lost -1.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.