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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.583
Stake
0.71u
Won +1.99u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.98u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.490
Stake
0.71u
Won +1.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.77u
Lost -0.77u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.54u
Won +0.95u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.47u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
4.15
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.311
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.66u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.58u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.86u
Lost -0.86u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.300
Stake
0.78u
Won +1.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.73u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.98u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.75u
Won +1.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
56.8%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.92u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.61u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.93u
Won +1.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.37u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.73u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.