Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 1:29 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.8%	0.131	0.37u	Won	+1.04u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	away	2.85	41.0%	0.129	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Apr 13, 2024	mlb	Orioles Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.9%	0.703	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 13, 2024	mlb	Rays Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.109	0.12u	Won	+0.34u
Apr 13, 2024	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.5%	0.280	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.5%	0.158	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Marlins Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.5%	0.146	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	White Sox Reds	First3 result	away	2.65	38.8%	0.182	0.27u	Won	+0.45u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Orioles Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.0%	0.265	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	away	3.10	40.1%	0.438	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Padres Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.124	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Royals Astros	First3 result	home	2.00	64.1%	0.282	0.61u	Won	+0.61u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Twins Dodgers	First3 result	away	3.05	44.0%	0.092	0.08u	Lost	-0.08u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.152	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First3 result	away	2.65	37.9%	0.265	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.0%	0.355	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Apr 9, 2024	mlb	Twins Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.8%	0.075	0.06u	Won	+0.17u
Apr 9, 2024	mlb	Padres Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.8%	0.829	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Apr 9, 2024	mlb	Pirates Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.0%	0.083	0.07u	Lost	-0.07u
Apr 9, 2024	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	away	3.10	36.0%	0.235	0.37u	Won	+0.78u
Apr 9, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First3 result	home	2.55	42.2%	0.077	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Apr 8, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.7%	0.114	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
Apr 8, 2024	mlb	Giants Nationals	First3 result	away	3.00	42.1%	0.255	0.56u	Won	+1.12u
Apr 8, 2024	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.3%	0.101	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Apr 8, 2024	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.8%	0.128	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Apr 8, 2024	mlb	Pirates Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.378	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Apr 7, 2024	mlb	Angels Red Sox	First3 result	home	1.95	54.1%	0.057	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Apr 7, 2024	mlb	Braves Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.0%	0.289	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Apr 7, 2024	mlb	Rockies Rays	First3 result	away	2.65	38.2%	0.078	0.30u	Won	+0.50u
Apr 7, 2024	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.8%	0.143	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Apr 6, 2024	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	away	2.95	44.5%	0.070	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Apr 6, 2024	mlb	Reds Mets	First3 result	home	2.65	45.8%	0.215	1.04u	Won	+1.72u
Apr 6, 2024	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.30	46.9%	0.079	0.47u	Won	+0.61u
Apr 5, 2024	mlb	Pirates Orioles	First3 result	home	2.65	39.8%	0.055	0.05u	Lost	-0.05u
Apr 5, 2024	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.6%	0.376	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Apr 5, 2024	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	away	3.55	38.0%	0.577	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 4, 2024	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	away	2.60	50.3%	0.077	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Apr 4, 2024	mlb	Twins Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.6%	0.075	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Apr 4, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.7%	0.385	1.10u	Lost	-1.10u
Apr 3, 2024	mlb	Athletics Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.4%	0.304	0.87u	Won	+2.44u
Apr 3, 2024	mlb	Padres Cardinals	First3 result	away	2.95	42.2%	0.152	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Apr 2, 2024	mlb	Phillies Reds	First3 result	home	2.55	44.8%	0.142	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Apr 1, 2024	mlb	Astros Blue Jays	First3 result	home	3.65	44.5%	0.625	1.20u	Won	+3.18u
Apr 1, 2024	mlb	Athletics Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.35	45.0%	0.059	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Mar 28, 2024	mlb	Orioles Angels	First3 result	home	2.35	45.1%	0.061	0.36u	Won	+0.49u
Mar 20, 2024	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.75	44.5%	0.225	1.03u	Won	+1.80u
Oct 31, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.3%	0.189	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Oct 30, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.298	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Oct 28, 2023	mlb	Rangers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.3%	0.298	0.85u	Won	+2.38u
Oct 27, 2023	mlb	Rangers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.370	1.06u	Won	+2.97u
Oct 24, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.1%	0.222	0.64u	Won	+1.79u
Oct 23, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.1%	0.259	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Oct 23, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.258	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Oct 22, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.3%	0.146	0.42u	Won	+1.18u
Oct 21, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.9%	0.254	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Oct 20, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.1%	0.283	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Oct 20, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.1%	0.284	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Oct 19, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.290	0.83u	Won	+2.32u
Oct 19, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.1%	0.319	0.91u	Won	+2.55u
Oct 18, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.8%	0.228	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Oct 17, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.4%	0.305	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Oct 16, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.152	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Oct 16, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.2%	0.244	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Oct 15, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.8%	0.176	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 12, 2023	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.3%	0.204	0.58u	Won	+1.62u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.9%	0.305	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.186	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.5%	0.426	0.97u	Won	+2.72u
Oct 10, 2023	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.351	1.00u	Lost	-1.00u
Oct 10, 2023	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.167	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 9, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.9%	0.355	1.01u	Lost	-1.01u
Oct 9, 2023	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.189	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Oct 8, 2023	mlb	Astros Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.2%	0.326	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Oct 8, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.281	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Astros Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.9%	0.129	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.137	0.39u	Won	+1.09u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.233	0.67u	Won	+1.88u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Rays Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.8%	0.298	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.208	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.8%	0.328	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Twins Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.1%	0.340	0.56u	Won	+1.57u
Oct 3, 2023	mlb	Rays Rangers	First3 result	away	2.40	35.6%	0.237	1.20u	Won	+1.68u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First3 result	home	2.75	53.2%	0.464	1.10u	Won	+1.93u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Astros	First3 result	home	2.35	48.5%	0.139	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	Royals Yankees	First3 result	home	2.40	45.9%	0.101	0.13u	Won	+0.18u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	White Sox Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	49.1%	0.090	0.07u	Won	+0.20u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First3 result	away	2.80	45.6%	0.107	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	Pirates Marlins	First3 result	home	2.85	40.0%	0.141	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	Mets Phillies	First3 result	away	3.90	45.8%	0.502	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.480	0.23u	Won	+0.64u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.0%	0.297	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First3 result	home	2.25	56.0%	0.260	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.9%	1.154	1.06u	Lost	-1.06u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.0%	0.291	0.31u	Won	+0.87u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Angels Athletics	First3 result	home	2.65	40.8%	0.082	0.07u	Lost	-0.07u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Pirates Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.262	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Rockies Twins	First3 result	away	3.30	41.0%	0.491	0.84u	Won	+1.93u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	White Sox Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.5%	0.177	0.15u	Won	+0.42u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.4%	0.183	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
Sep 28, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	home	2.85	49.3%	0.405	0.60u	Won	+1.11u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.