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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.81u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.95u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
27.2%
EV/u
0.686
Stake
0.42u
Won +1.39u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.37u
Won +1.04u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.60u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.489
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.624
Stake
0.42u
Won +1.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.534
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.384
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.591
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.456
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.639
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.43u
Won +1.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.455
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.634
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.581
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.504
Stake
0.46u
Won +1.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.667
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.9%
EV/u
0.808
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.661
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.95u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.565
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.679
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.448
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.28u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.519
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.87u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.465
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.549
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.5%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.95u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.518
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.738
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.42u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.