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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.50u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.47u
Won +1.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.404
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.535
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.68u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
28.7%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.01u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.98u
Lost -0.98u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
0.74u
Won +1.85u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
28.4%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.726
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
27.3%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.46u
Won +1.06u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.81u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.70u
Won +1.37u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.01u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
28.9%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.66u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
29.2%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
0.34u
Won +1.02u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.89u
Lost -0.89u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
1.31u
Lost -1.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.1%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.42u
Won +1.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.38u
Won +1.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.41u
Won +1.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.461
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.9%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.52u
Won +0.86u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.