Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.95u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.95u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.87u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.01u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.918
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.71u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.57u
First 3 innings
mlb
Athletics
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.73u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.62u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
23.6%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.39u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.01u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.449
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.34u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.