Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
70.6%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.470
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.01u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.40u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Athletics
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
22.2%
EV/u
0.435
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.53u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.819
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.5%
EV/u
0.840
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
1.604
Stake
0.69u
Won
+1.93u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.25u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
1.69
Prob
22.1%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.38u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
64.4%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.31u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.98u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
24.4%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.72u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.87u
Won
+1.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
62.2%
EV/u
0.436
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.56u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.64u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.37u
Won
+1.04u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 3 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
29.2%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
First 3 innings
mlb
Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.876
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
1.391
Stake
0.69u
Won
+1.93u
First 3 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 3 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 3 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.42u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.97u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 3 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.48u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
1.064
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.24u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.8%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Athletics
away
Odds
1.63
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.80u
Won
+0.50u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 3 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.67u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.06u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.447
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.28u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
14.1%
EV/u
1.858
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
14.1%
EV/u
1.857
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.32u
First 3 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 3 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 3 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.98u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.01u
First 3 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.2%
EV/u
0.919
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.46u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.81u
First 3 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 3 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.637
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 3 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.59u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 3 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.14u
First 3 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.