Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 11:20 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 22, 2025	mlb	Athletics Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.094	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 22, 2025	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.104	0.22u	Won	+0.62u
May 22, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.114	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
May 22, 2025	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.117	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 22, 2025	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.9%	0.118	0.27u	Won	+0.76u
May 22, 2025	mlb	Astros Mariners	First3 result	home	3.05	38.7%	0.179	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
May 21, 2025	mlb	Twins Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.116	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
May 21, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.114	0.31u	Won	+0.87u
May 21, 2025	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.108	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 21, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.109	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
May 21, 2025	mlb	Pirates Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.6%	0.109	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
May 21, 2025	mlb	Marlins Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.9%	0.110	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
May 20, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.120	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
May 20, 2025	mlb	Brewers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.130	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 20, 2025	mlb	White Sox Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.0%	0.136	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 20, 2025	mlb	Rays Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.134	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 20, 2025	mlb	Nationals Braves	First3 result	home	3.25	39.3%	0.276	0.74u	Won	+1.67u
May 20, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.5%	0.127	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
May 19, 2025	mlb	Athletics Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.5%	0.128	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 19, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.112	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 19, 2025	mlb	White Sox Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.117	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 19, 2025	mlb	Brewers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.110	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 19, 2025	mlb	Rays Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.104	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 19, 2025	mlb	Pirates Reds	First3 result	home	3.00	39.2%	0.177	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
May 18, 2025	mlb	Marlins Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.108	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 18, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.128	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 18, 2025	mlb	Reds Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.117	0.31u	Won	+0.87u
May 18, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.119	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 18, 2025	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.114	0.28u	Won	+0.78u
May 18, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.109	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 17, 2025	mlb	Reds Guardians	First3 result	away	3.95	39.2%	0.253	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
May 17, 2025	mlb	Yankees Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.128	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 17, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.114	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 17, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.167	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 17, 2025	mlb	Padres Mariners	First3 result	away	3.65	38.9%	0.191	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 17, 2025	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.131	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
May 16, 2025	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.119	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 16, 2025	mlb	Cubs White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.120	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 16, 2025	mlb	Orioles Nationals	First3 result	away	3.55	39.1%	0.129	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 16, 2025	mlb	Marlins Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.114	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
May 16, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Braves	First3 result	away	4.00	39.1%	0.270	0.68u	Won	+2.04u
May 16, 2025	mlb	Padres Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.112	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 15, 2025	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.109	0.27u	Won	+0.76u
May 15, 2025	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.110	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 15, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.117	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 15, 2025	mlb	Orioles Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.136	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
May 15, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.112	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 15, 2025	mlb	Reds White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.120	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.112	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.144	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.111	0.27u	Won	+0.76u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Orioles Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.111	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Guardians Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.126	0.32u	Won	+0.90u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Reds White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.109	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.5%	0.150	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Tigers Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.5%	0.152	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.4%	0.289	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	3.00	33.0%	0.325	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Guardians Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.5%	0.323	0.47u	Won	+1.32u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.352	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.5%	0.255	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First3 result	home	2.25	46.9%	0.055	0.07u	Lost	-0.07u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.1%	0.285	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 11, 2025	mlb	Pirates Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.1%	0.147	0.09u	Won	+0.25u
May 11, 2025	mlb	Rays Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.130	0.08u	Lost	-0.08u
May 11, 2025	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.107	0.05u	Lost	-0.05u
May 11, 2025	mlb	White Sox Marlins	First3 result	home	3.50	43.9%	0.537	0.72u	Won	+1.80u
May 11, 2025	mlb	Angels Orioles	First3 result	home	2.90	44.9%	0.302	0.34u	Won	+0.65u
May 11, 2025	mlb	Mariners Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.5%	0.465	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
May 10, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.075	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 10, 2025	mlb	Mariners Blue Jays	First3 result	home	3.05	38.8%	0.184	0.72u	Won	+1.48u
May 10, 2025	mlb	White Sox Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.4%	0.293	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.4%	0.138	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
May 9, 2025	mlb	White Sox Marlins	First3 result	home	2.60	41.1%	0.068	0.18u	Won	+0.29u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Pirates Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.0%	0.357	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Rays Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.129	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Angels Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.2%	0.161	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.181	0.43u	Won	+1.20u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Rockies Tigers	First3 result	home	2.75	43.4%	0.193	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Braves Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.9%	0.092	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.097	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.7%	0.277	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.100	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Marlins Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.6%	0.073	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Braves Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.149	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.7%	0.108	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Brewers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.5%	0.122	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.415	1.18u	Won	+3.30u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Rays Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.089	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Twins Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.7%	0.096	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 5, 2025	mlb	Cubs Giants	First3 result	home	2.85	53.3%	0.520	1.20u	Won	+2.22u
May 5, 2025	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.285	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
May 4, 2025	mlb	White Sox Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.356	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Yankees Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.3%	0.168	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	48.0%	0.131	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Orioles Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.9%	0.126	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Marlins Athletics	First3 result	away	4.15	53.2%	0.332	0.49u	Won	+1.54u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.8%	0.201	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Marlins Athletics	First3 result	away	2.85	43.0%	0.116	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Giants Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.6%	0.185	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.