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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
20.5%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.1%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.2%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.78u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
18.6%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.7%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.2%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.5%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
74.7%
EV/u
0.543
Stake
0.74u
Won +0.93u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.521
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
1.69
Prob
74.6%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.77u
Won +1.39u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.50u
Won +0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
1.61
Prob
74.5%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.80u
Won +0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.529
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
70.2%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.86u
Won +0.95u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
1.67
Prob
68.6%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.602
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
70.2%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
69.5%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.80u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.59u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.99u
Lost -0.99u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.68u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
70.0%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.80u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
70.9%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.80u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 3 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.