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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT

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First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics Athletics
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
1.619
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
11.1%
EV/u
1.061
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.1%
EV/u
0.836
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.67u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
14.3%
EV/u
0.846
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
12.9%
EV/u
1.114
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 3 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.958
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.909
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.9%
EV/u
0.863
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.76u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
23.8%
EV/u
1.297
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
15.9%
EV/u
1.272
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
7.6%
EV/u
1.141
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.7%
EV/u
0.802
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
0.615
Stake
0.79u
Lost -0.79u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.8%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
24.7%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
0.470
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.468
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.68u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
8.0%
EV/u
0.967
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.934
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
25.7%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.6%
EV/u
0.427
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.3%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.0%
EV/u
0.848
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
0.795
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.37u
Won +1.04u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.47u
Won +1.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.41u
Won +1.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.90u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.37u
Won +1.04u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.42u
Won +1.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.41u
Won +1.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.41u
Won +1.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.35u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.20u
First 3 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.55u
Won +0.77u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.69u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.468
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.89u
Won +1.47u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.63u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.29u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.477
Stake
1.07u
Won +2.57u
First 3 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.67u
Won +1.21u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.567
Stake
1.32u
Lost -1.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.335
Stake
0.79u
Won +1.38u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.96u
Lost -0.96u
First 3 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.10u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 3 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 3 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 3 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.7%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.45u
First 3 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
20.6%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 3 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.0%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.62u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.53u
First 3 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.25u
First 3 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.36u
First 3 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
18.6%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.85u
Lost -0.85u
First 3 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.38u
Won +1.06u
First 3 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 3 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 3 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 3 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.9%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.41u
Won +1.15u
First 3 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.