Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:30 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 4.00 | 40.6% | 0.326 | 0.87u | Won | +2.61u |
| Jun 29, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 40.5% | 0.060 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jun 28, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 3.40 | 40.6% | 0.128 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jun 28, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 3.35 | 40.6% | 0.115 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jun 27, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 40.6% | 0.065 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jun 26, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 3.35 | 40.6% | 0.360 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 25, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
First3 result | home | 3.50 | 40.6% | 0.420 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Jun 25, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
First3 result | home | 2.75 | 40.6% | 0.116 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jun 24, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Nationals
|
First3 result | away | 3.65 | 36.4% | 0.484 | 1.20u | Won | +3.18u |
| Jun 24, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
First3 result | home | 3.15 | 36.3% | 0.144 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jun 24, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 0.116 | 0.28u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jun 22, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 36.4% | 0.096 | 0.45u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jun 22, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 36.6% | 0.082 | 0.40u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jun 22, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 36.4% | 0.097 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jun 21, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 36.4% | 0.258 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Jun 21, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First3 result | away | 2.60 | 36.4% | 0.055 | 0.28u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jun 21, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 2.60 | 36.4% | 0.057 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jun 20, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 36.4% | 0.098 | 0.34u | Won | +0.58u |
| Jun 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 36.4% | 0.077 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jun 20, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First3 result | away | 3.50 | 36.4% | 0.423 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 19, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 36.4% | 0.343 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jun 19, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 3.85 | 36.4% | 0.565 | 0.91u | Won | +2.59u |
| Jun 19, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 36.4% | 0.320 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jun 18, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
First3 result | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 0.117 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jun 18, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 2.60 | 36.4% | 0.056 | 0.28u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jun 18, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 36.4% | 0.260 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Jun 17, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 36.5% | 0.080 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jun 17, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 36.4% | 0.077 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jun 17, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 2.60 | 36.4% | 0.056 | 0.26u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jun 17, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 36.4% | 0.196 | 0.80u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jun 16, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 36.4% | 0.097 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Jun 15, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 36.4% | 0.077 | 0.37u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jun 15, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 3.85 | 36.2% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 14, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Reds
|
First3 result | away | 3.35 | 36.4% | 0.360 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jun 14, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 2.80 | 36.4% | 0.138 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jun 14, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
First3 result | away | 3.90 | 36.4% | 0.589 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Jun 13, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 4.00 | 36.4% | 0.626 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Jun 12, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 36.4% | 0.299 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Jun 12, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 36.3% | 0.070 | 0.20u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jun 12, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 2.60 | 36.4% | 0.057 | 0.18u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jun 12, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 36.4% | 0.098 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jun 11, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 36.4% | 0.342 | 1.19u | Won | +2.74u |
| Jun 10, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.8% | 0.101 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jun 8, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 3.00 | 36.1% | 0.100 | 0.40u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jun 8, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | home | 3.30 | 35.3% | 0.165 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jun 7, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 3.20 | 33.3% | 0.066 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jun 6, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 33.6% | 0.081 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jun 6, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | home | 3.25 | 33.1% | 0.076 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jun 5, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 37.0% | 0.219 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Jun 3, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.3% | 0.071 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jun 3, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
First3 result | away | 2.50 | 32.3% | 0.132 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jun 3, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.7% | 0.094 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jun 2, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 36.1% | 0.095 | 0.46u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jun 1, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.5% | 0.073 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Jun 1, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 3.05 | 34.0% | 0.286 | 0.41u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jun 1, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
First3 result | away | 2.40 | 33.6% | 0.090 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Jun 1, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Red Sox
|
First3 result | away | 4.30 | 35.2% | 0.867 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
| May 31, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.85 | 34.6% | 0.638 | 1.20u | Won | +3.42u |
| May 31, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.4% | 0.081 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| May 31, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 36.0% | 0.129 | 0.42u | Won | +0.82u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 34.9% | 0.094 | 0.34u | Won | +0.66u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.0% | 0.082 | 0.22u | Won | +0.62u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.50 | 33.8% | 0.226 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Yankees
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 36.4% | 0.061 | 0.20u | Won | +0.37u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.7% | 0.112 | 0.32u | Won | +0.90u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.85 | 38.8% | 0.680 | 1.20u | Won | +3.42u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 2.80 | 35.1% | 0.061 | 0.14u | Won | +0.25u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.4% | 0.089 | 0.16u | Won | +0.45u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 35.0% | 0.075 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.3% | 0.072 | 0.12u | Won | +0.34u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.0% | 0.110 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.3% | 0.118 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 3.65 | 39.2% | 0.180 | 0.47u | Won | +1.25u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.3% | 0.123 | 0.27u | Won | +0.76u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.9% | 0.140 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.2% | 0.119 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.3% | 0.109 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.2% | 0.110 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.1% | 0.115 | 0.27u | Won | +0.76u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.3% | 0.115 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.70 | 39.0% | 0.178 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.9% | 0.107 | 0.25u | Won | +0.70u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.0% | 0.122 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 3.30 | 38.7% | 0.278 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.2% | 0.115 | 0.19u | Won | +0.53u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.5% | 0.121 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.6% | 0.116 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Padres
|
First3 result | away | 3.50 | 39.0% | 0.135 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.0% | 0.119 | 0.15u | Won | +0.42u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.9% | 0.108 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.5% | 0.138 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Phillies
|
First3 result | home | 3.65 | 38.9% | 0.420 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.1% | 0.128 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.3% | 0.127 | 0.16u | Won | +0.45u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.8% | 0.114 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.2% | 0.135 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.5% | 0.157 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
First3 result | home | 3.15 | 39.0% | 0.227 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.2% | 0.113 | 0.20u | Won | +0.56u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.4% | 0.113 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.