Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:04 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
First3 result | away | 2.55 | 33.1% | 0.399 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 11, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 45.2% | 0.150 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 11, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 36.8% | 0.205 | 0.59u | Won | +1.65u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 52.1% | 0.055 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Mets
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.9% | 0.435 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 36.1% | 0.223 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.2% | 0.101 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 2.50 | 43.6% | 0.093 | 0.17u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.5% | 0.140 | 0.11u | Won | +0.31u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 43.1% | 0.200 | 0.18u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 39.0% | 0.120 | 0.12u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Mets
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 36.7% | 0.470 | 0.70u | Won | +1.96u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.5% | 0.367 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 1.95 | 58.0% | 0.132 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 45.6% | 0.353 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.2% | 0.206 | 0.07u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 36.0% | 0.230 | 0.09u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 2.25 | 36.4% | 0.180 | 0.10u | Won | +0.13u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 29.3% | 1.065 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Angels
|
First3 result | home | 2.05 | 64.2% | 0.317 | 0.26u | Won | +0.27u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 50.1% | 0.194 | 0.55u | Won | +1.54u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
First3 result | home | 3.20 | 41.7% | 0.335 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Athletics
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 42.7% | 0.260 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 43.7% | 0.074 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 3.05 | 43.3% | 0.068 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.4% | 0.085 | 0.24u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.4% | 0.119 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.4% | 0.124 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.8% | 0.096 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.3% | 0.135 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.0% | 0.078 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.2% | 0.183 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.4% | 0.177 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.4% | 0.139 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.4% | 0.138 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 2.55 | 45.2% | 0.153 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.1% | 0.231 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.4% | 0.246 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Orioles
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.5% | 0.111 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 31, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 43.9% | 0.100 | 0.29u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.8% | 0.190 | 0.29u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.3% | 0.271 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.3% | 0.160 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.0% | 0.104 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.8% | 0.198 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.4% | 0.245 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Phillies
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 42.1% | 0.053 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.6% | 0.101 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.3% | 0.100 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 43.8% | 0.113 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.4% | 0.096 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Mets
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 36.5% | 0.148 | 0.21u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 37.6% | 0.220 | 0.37u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.3% | 0.119 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.2% | 0.082 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 45.8% | 0.122 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 45.0% | 0.282 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.6% | 0.158 | 0.38u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.3% | 0.166 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.8% | 0.080 | 0.15u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.5% | 0.198 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.3% | 0.087 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.5% | 0.090 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.3% | 0.084 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.7% | 0.140 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 37.9% | 0.212 | 0.61u | Won | +1.71u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
First3 result | home | 2.55 | 41.5% | 0.059 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.2% | 0.182 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.5% | 0.132 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.4% | 0.107 | 0.31u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 24, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.3% | 0.110 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.8% | 0.265 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.8% | 0.275 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Royals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.6% | 0.105 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Brewers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.8% | 0.198 | 0.39u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 22, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.4% | 0.106 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 21, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 43.2% | 0.084 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
White Sox
|
First3 result | home | 3.00 | 41.2% | 0.236 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 44.2% | 0.172 | 0.83u | Won | +1.37u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.0% | 0.130 | 0.37u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 18, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 42.7% | 0.069 | 0.37u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jul 13, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.0% | 0.134 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 46.7% | 0.145 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
First3 result | home | 2.40 | 44.5% | 0.067 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Cubs
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 43.0% | 0.060 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 44.0% | 0.099 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 33.8% | 0.295 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.9% | 0.095 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 42.7% | 0.131 | 0.63u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.60 | 44.5% | 0.114 | 0.35u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 43.4% | 0.127 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.4% | 0.137 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 8, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 40.6% | 0.062 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jul 6, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Pirates
|
First3 result | home | 2.80 | 40.6% | 0.138 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 6, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 40.7% | 0.160 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Jul 6, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.60 | 40.6% | 0.056 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 3, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 2.60 | 40.6% | 0.056 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 2, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 3.15 | 40.6% | 0.279 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Jul 2, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 3.70 | 40.6% | 0.227 | 0.67u | Won | +1.81u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.