Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:17 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.508
Stake
0.85u
Won
+1.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.83u
Won
+1.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
1.03u
Won
+2.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.39
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
1.99
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.99u
Lost
-0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.14u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.