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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 14, 2026 8:01 PM EDT

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Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.844
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.20u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Norwich City Norwich City
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.580
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Reading Reading
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
1.02u
Won +1.94u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Millwall Millwall
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.607
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.12u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Norwich City Norwich City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.20u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Reading Reading
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
1.02u
Lost -1.02u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.609
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Watford Watford
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Preston North End Preston North End
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.500
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Swansea City Swansea City
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.600
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.76u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
4.9%
EV/u
2.308
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Norwich City Norwich City
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
0.2%
EV/u
3.659
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Watford Watford
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
1.6%
EV/u
1.106
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Birmingham City Birmingham City
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.97u
Won +3.88u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Millwall Millwall
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.566
Stake
1.13u
Lost -1.13u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Norwich City Norwich City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.81u
Lost -0.81u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Luton Town Luton Town
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.694
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.20u
Result championship
Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers
Swansea City Swansea City
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.546
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.13u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
69.3%
EV/u
0.989
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.24u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Bristol City Bristol City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
27.5%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
25.7%
EV/u
0.452
Stake
1.13u
Won +3.62u
Result championship
Rotherham United Rotherham United
Millwall Millwall
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Cardiff City Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
15.9%
EV/u
0.900
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
17.1%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
16.1%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Brentford Brentford
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
1.015
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.88u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Swansea City Swansea City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
1.7%
EV/u
0.922
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
24.8%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.40u
Won +1.04u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Swansea City Swansea City
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
0.90u
Lost -0.90u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Fulham Fulham
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.76u
Won +1.29u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Brentford Brentford
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.726
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.36u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Swansea City Swansea City
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.663
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.78u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.875
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Leeds United Leeds United
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.47u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Birmingham City Birmingham City
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.633
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.66u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Luton Town Luton Town
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
1.063
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Stoke City Stoke City
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.657
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.80u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.774
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Fulham Fulham
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.491
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.75u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Leeds United Leeds United
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
1.063
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.24u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
1.249
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Bristol City Bristol City
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.635
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
1.396
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.00u
Result championship
Leeds United Leeds United
Stoke City Stoke City
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.645
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.57u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.905
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.785
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.51u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Hull City Hull City
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.75u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.539
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.40u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
29.6%
EV/u
0.534
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Millwall Millwall
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.800
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.00u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Bristol City Bristol City
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.509
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.00u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.912
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Brentford Brentford
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.57u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.45u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
25.3%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.741
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.80u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.728
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.05u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.91u
Lost -0.91u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Leeds United Leeds United
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.676
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.80u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
26.0%
EV/u
0.430
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.16u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City Birmingham City
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.437
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic
Luton Town Luton Town
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.05u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Fulham Fulham
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.581
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.84u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Swansea City Swansea City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.955
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Stoke City Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
29.9%
EV/u
0.969
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.12u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Barnsley Barnsley
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
1.056
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.50u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Swansea City Swansea City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.689
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Brentford Brentford
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End Preston North End
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
28.4%
EV/u
0.513
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.90u
Result championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Luton Town Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
28.9%
EV/u
0.581
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Fulham Fulham
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.90u
Won +2.07u
Result championship
Leeds United Leeds United
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
29.4%
EV/u
0.729
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Brentford Brentford
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.762
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.20u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Swansea City Swansea City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.40u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Cardiff City Cardiff City
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
Result championship
Reading Reading
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Leeds United Leeds United
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.43u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Hull City Hull City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.477
Stake
0.95u
Lost -0.95u
Result championship
Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic
Preston North End Preston North End
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.891
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Fulham Fulham
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.802
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.00u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Birmingham City Birmingham City
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.92u
Won +2.07u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.748
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.00u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Brentford Brentford
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.462
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.78u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Reading Reading
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.99u
Lost -0.99u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.