Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 7:13 AM EDT
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Leicester City
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Sunderland
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.747
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
europa-league
Brighton & Hove Albion
Marseille
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.841
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home draw
europa-league
Real Betis
Rangers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.784
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.80u
Home draw
europa-league
Olympiacos
FK TSC
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.863
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Southampton
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.399
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Hull City
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.94u
Lost
-0.94u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Bristol City
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Preston North End
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.98u
Lost
-0.98u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Hull City
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.703
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Leeds United
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
1.090
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Millwall
Sunderland
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.774
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.69u
Result
championship
Plymouth Argyle
Stoke City
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
1.297
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.500
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.00u
Home away
europa-league
Atalanta
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
8.1%
EV/u
2.491
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.76u
Home away
europa-league
FK TSC
West Ham United
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
1.879
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home away
europa-league
Servette
AS Roma
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
1.423
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.58u
Home draw
europa-league
Molde
FK Qarabag
1x
Odds
3.40
Prob
71.0%
EV/u
1.339
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.25u
Home draw
europa-league
Servette
AS Roma
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.905
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home draw
europa-league
SK Sturm Graz
Raków Czestochowa
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
21.6%
EV/u
1.132
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.83u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Leicester City
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
26.4%
EV/u
0.959
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.00u
Result
championship
Ipswich Town
Millwall
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.490
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Plymouth Argyle
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.852
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.69u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
1.038
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.80u
Result
championship
Millwall
Coventry City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
26.3%
EV/u
1.341
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Hull City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
5.9%
EV/u
1.384
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.12u
Result
championship
Southampton
West Bromwich Albion
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
29.4%
EV/u
1.136
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.695
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Preston North End
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.88u
Won
+2.29u
Home away
europa-league
Real Betis
Aris Limassol
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
1.339
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home away
europa-league
FK Qarabag
Bayer Leverkusen
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
1.136
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Home away
europa-league
LASK Linz
Union St.-Gilloise
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
1.486
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home draw
europa-league
Toulouse
Liverpool
1x
Odds
2.50
Prob
65.8%
EV/u
0.610
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.53u
Home draw
europa-league
Real Betis
Aris Limassol
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
2.201
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home draw
europa-league
Sporting CP
Raków Czestochowa
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.781
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
21.7%
EV/u
0.384
Stake
0.92u
Won
+3.06u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
22.5%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.52u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Coventry City
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.739
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Sunderland
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
24.0%
EV/u
0.589
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Leicester City
Leeds United
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Result
championship
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Rotherham United
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
62.3%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.903
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Swansea City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
1.070
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.00u
Home draw
europa-league
Sparta Prague
Rangers
1x
Odds
2.50
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.80u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Ipswich Town
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
1.116
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Coventry City
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
1.184
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.84u
Result
championship
Leicester City
Sunderland
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.96u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Cardiff City
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
1.573
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.50u
Result
championship
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
1.384
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
wnba
New York Liberty
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.81u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Norwich City
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.894
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.00u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Watford
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.617
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.05u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.16u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Bristol City
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.00u
Result
championship
Leeds United
Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.53u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
1.057
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Sheffield Wednesday
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.897
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Leicester City
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
Home win
wnba
Connecticut Sun
New York Liberty
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.550
Stake
1.37u
Lost
-1.37u
Home cover
wnba
Connecticut Sun
New York Liberty
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Rotherham United
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.597
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Stoke City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.05u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Sunderland
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.864
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
wnba
Connecticut Sun
New York Liberty
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home cover
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Dallas Wings
away
Odds
1.92
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.63u
Home cover
wnba
New York Liberty
Connecticut Sun
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.52u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Hull City
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.64u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.87u
Won
+2.61u
Home cover
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Dallas Wings
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
1.16u
Lost
-1.16u
Home cover
wnba
New York Liberty
Connecticut Sun
away
Odds
1.89
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.30u
Result
championship
Leicester City
Bristol City
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.469
Stake
1.07u
Won
+3.75u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Preston North End
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home away
europa-league
Atalanta
Raków Czestochowa
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.962
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Home away
europa-league
Rangers
Real Betis
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
16.6%
EV/u
1.622
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
Home away
europa-league
Brighton & Hove Albion
AEK Athens
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.982
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home draw
europa-league
Union St.-Gilloise
Toulouse
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
1.352
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home draw
europa-league
Panathinaikos
Villarreal
1x
Odds
2.63
Prob
85.7%
EV/u
1.185
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.68u
Home draw
europa-league
Ajax Amsterdam
Marseille
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
1.848
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Home draw
europa-league
LASK Linz
Liverpool
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
26.1%
EV/u
0.894
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.42u
Home draw
europa-league
Rangers
Real Betis
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.461
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home draw
europa-league
Sheriff Tiraspol
AS Roma
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.564
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.59u
Result
championship
Hull City
Leeds United
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.65u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Leicester City
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Stoke City
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Plymouth Argyle
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Result
championship
Millwall
Leeds United
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
5.5%
EV/u
0.644
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.20u
Home cover
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Minnesota Lynx
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.91u
Won
+0.83u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Swansea City
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.735
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Middlesbrough
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
16.7%
EV/u
1.033
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Hull City
Coventry City
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
78.5%
EV/u
0.805
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Southampton
Leicester City
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.752
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home cover
wnba
New York Liberty
Washington Mystics
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
Home cover
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Chicago Sky
away
Odds
1.89
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.50u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.