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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 14, 2026 8:01 PM EDT

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Result championship
Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Bristol City Bristol City
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Swansea City Swansea City
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
25.7%
EV/u
0.785
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Reading Reading
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.518
Stake
1.15u
Lost -1.15u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Birmingham City Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.60u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.43u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City Stoke City
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.7%
EV/u
0.831
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.36u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Luton Town Luton Town
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.908
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.558
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Reading Reading
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
1.236
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.665
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Preston North End Preston North End
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
65.3%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Millwall Millwall
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.665
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.60u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.36u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Barnsley Barnsley
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.805
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.894
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.831
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.85u
Lost -0.85u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Barnsley Barnsley
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.631
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Birmingham City Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.613
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.72u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.952
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
1.273
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Stoke City Stoke City
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
68.8%
EV/u
0.974
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.24u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.677
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Millwall Millwall
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Hull City Hull City
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.632
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Reading Reading
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
1.142
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Cardiff City Cardiff City
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.60u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Luton Town Luton Town
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.651
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Millwall Millwall
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.13u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City Swansea City
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.88u
Lost -0.88u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Brentford Brentford
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.418
Stake
0.84u
Lost -0.84u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Leeds United Leeds United
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.619
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic
Reading Reading
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Luton Town Luton Town
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.813
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.60u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Fulham Fulham
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Preston North End Preston North End
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.40u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Leeds United Leeds United
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.975
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.50u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Hull City Hull City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.30u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Reading Reading
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.16u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Bristol City Bristol City
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
64.6%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Luton Town Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
1.0%
EV/u
2.360
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Stoke City Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
1.648
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Preston North End Preston North End
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Millwall Millwall
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
Result championship
Brentford Brentford
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.87u
Lost -0.87u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Bristol City Bristol City
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Brentford Brentford
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Cardiff City Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.48u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.577
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.30u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Barnsley Barnsley
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Luton Town Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Sheffield United Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
1.06u
Won +2.92u
Result championship
Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic
Aston Villa Aston Villa
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
1.359
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.82u
Won +2.73u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.665
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
Cardiff City Cardiff City
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
0.3%
EV/u
3.403
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.20u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
2.88
Prob
20.8%
EV/u
0.818
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
Home draw europa-league
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Bologna Bologna
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.653
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result europa-league
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
Result europa-league
Real Betis Real Betis
Braga Braga
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.86u
Result europa-league
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
FC Porto FC Porto
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
Home away europa-league
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
1.174
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
Home draw champions-league
Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid
Barcelona Barcelona
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.548
Stake
1.20u
Won +1.80u
Result europa-league
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.99u
Result europa-league
FC Porto FC Porto
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
Result europa-league
Bologna Bologna
Aston Villa Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.32u
Won +1.02u
Home draw europa-league
Bologna Bologna
Aston Villa Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
1.156
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.92u
Home draw europa-league
FC Porto FC Porto
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
1.029
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
Home draw champions-league
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Arsenal Arsenal
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.56u
Won +0.73u
Result europa-league
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
Result europa-league
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Lille Lille
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
Result europa-league
FC Porto FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
away
Odds
4.90
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.627
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
Draw away europa-league
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
Racing Genk Racing Genk
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.645
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.22u
Home away europa-league
Real Betis Real Betis
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.607
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
Home away europa-league
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.185
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
Home away europa-league
FC Porto FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
draw
Odds
3.85
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.945
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
Result europa-league
Braga Braga
Ferencvaros Ferencvaros
draw
Odds
4.70
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
Home draw champions-league
Manchester City Manchester City
Real Madrid Real Madrid
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.668
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.10u
Result europa-league
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
FC Porto FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
Result europa-league
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.462
Stake
0.33u
Won +1.12u
Result europa-league
Lille Lille
Aston Villa Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
0.31u
Won +1.05u
Draw away europa-league
Racing Genk Racing Genk
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
12.6%
EV/u
1.621
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.52u
Home away europa-league
Racing Genk Racing Genk
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Home draw europa-league
Lille Lille
Aston Villa Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
9.4%
EV/u
2.986
Stake
0.59u
Won +2.01u
Home draw europa-league
Racing Genk Racing Genk
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.