Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 14, 2026 8:01 PM EDT
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Sheffield Wednesday
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Reading
Bristol City
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Swansea City
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
25.7%
EV/u
0.785
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Reading
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.518
Stake
1.15u
Lost
-1.15u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.60u
Result
championship
Barnsley
Preston North End
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.43u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.7%
EV/u
0.831
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.36u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Luton Town
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.908
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.558
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Millwall
Reading
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
1.236
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Fulham
Middlesbrough
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.665
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Preston North End
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
65.3%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Millwall
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.665
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.60u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Charlton Athletic
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.36u
Result
championship
Derby County
Barnsley
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.805
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.894
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.831
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Derby County
Charlton Athletic
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Barnsley
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Middlesbrough
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.631
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.613
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.72u
Result
championship
Barnsley
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.952
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Bristol City
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
Result
championship
Millwall
Barnsley
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
1.273
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
68.8%
EV/u
0.974
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.24u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.677
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Derby County
Millwall
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Charlton Athletic
Hull City
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.632
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Barnsley
Reading
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
1.142
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Brentford
Cardiff City
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.60u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Luton Town
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.651
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Millwall
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.13u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.88u
Lost
-0.88u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Brentford
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.418
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Leeds United
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Result
championship
Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.619
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Reading
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Brentford
Luton Town
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.813
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.60u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Fulham
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Result
championship
Hull City
Preston North End
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.40u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Reading
Leeds United
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Charlton Athletic
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.975
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.50u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Hull City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.30u
Result
championship
Brentford
Reading
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.16u
Result
championship
Derby County
Preston North End
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Fulham
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Bristol City
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
64.6%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Reading
Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
1.0%
EV/u
2.360
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Barnsley
Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
1.648
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Stoke City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Charlton Athletic
Preston North End
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Reading
Millwall
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Result
championship
Brentford
Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
Result
championship
Barnsley
Bristol City
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Brentford
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Wigan Athletic
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.48u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.577
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.30u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Barnsley
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Fulham
Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
1.06u
Won
+2.92u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Aston Villa
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
1.359
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.82u
Won
+2.73u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.665
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Ipswich Town
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Ipswich Town
Wolverhampton Wanderers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
0.3%
EV/u
3.403
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.20u
Result
championship
Fulham
Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
2.88
Prob
20.8%
EV/u
0.818
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Wolverhampton Wanderers
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Home draw
europa-league
Aston Villa
Bologna
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.653
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
europa-league
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
europa-league
Real Betis
Braga
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.86u
Result
europa-league
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Home away
europa-league
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
1.174
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.548
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.80u
Result
europa-league
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.99u
Result
europa-league
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
europa-league
Bologna
Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.32u
Won
+1.02u
Home draw
europa-league
Bologna
Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
1.156
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.92u
Home draw
europa-league
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
1.029
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
champions-league
Sporting CP
Arsenal
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.73u
Result
europa-league
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
europa-league
Aston Villa
Lille
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Result
europa-league
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
away
Odds
4.90
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.627
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Draw away
europa-league
SC Freiburg
Racing Genk
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.645
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.22u
Home away
europa-league
Real Betis
Panathinaikos
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.607
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home away
europa-league
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.185
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home away
europa-league
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
draw
Odds
3.85
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.945
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Result
europa-league
Braga
Ferencvaros
draw
Odds
4.70
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home draw
champions-league
Manchester City
Real Madrid
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.668
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.10u
Result
europa-league
VfB Stuttgart
FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
europa-league
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.462
Stake
0.33u
Won
+1.12u
Result
europa-league
Lille
Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
0.31u
Won
+1.05u
Draw away
europa-league
Racing Genk
SC Freiburg
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
12.6%
EV/u
1.621
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.52u
Home away
europa-league
Racing Genk
SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
europa-league
Lille
Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
9.4%
EV/u
2.986
Stake
0.59u
Won
+2.01u
Home draw
europa-league
Racing Genk
SC Freiburg
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.