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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.66u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.638
Stake
1.49u
Won +3.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.88u
Won +1.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.59u
Won +0.89u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
0.56u
Won +0.98u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
1.062
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.89u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.476
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.749
Stake
0.38u
Won +1.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.81u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.591
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.810
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.441
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.43u
Won +1.16u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.66u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.65
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.57u
Won +0.97u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.86u
Lost -0.86u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.425
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.