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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 7:37 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
4.15
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.593
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.90u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.490
Stake
1.01u
Won +2.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.83u
Won +1.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.50u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.82u
Lost -0.82u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.528
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
1.00u
Won +1.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.71u
Won +1.10u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.98u
Won +1.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.56u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.