Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jul 14, 2017	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	away	2.53	45.6%	0.091	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 14, 2017	mlb	Athletics Indians	First5 result	away	2.50	46.9%	0.095	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jul 14, 2017	mlb	Reds Nationals	First5 result	home	2.70	46.2%	0.246	1.05u	Lost	-1.05u
Jul 9, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First5 result	away	2.85	46.5%	0.241	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Jul 9, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Astros	First5 result	away	2.47	46.3%	0.060	0.07u	Won	+0.10u
Jul 9, 2017	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	away	3.03	41.3%	0.174	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jul 9, 2017	mlb	Yankees Brewers	First5 result	away	3.68	43.4%	0.489	1.06u	Won	+2.84u
Jul 8, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First5 result	away	2.72	45.6%	0.168	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Jul 8, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First5 result	away	2.81	43.7%	0.145	0.27u	Won	+0.49u
Jul 8, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Royals	First5 result	away	2.55	46.7%	0.097	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jul 8, 2017	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	3.18	46.5%	0.377	1.03u	Won	+2.25u
Jul 7, 2017	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	2.92	43.5%	0.200	0.31u	Won	+0.60u
Jul 7, 2017	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	away	2.90	43.8%	0.182	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 7, 2017	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	away	2.51	47.0%	0.083	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Jul 7, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First5 result	away	3.54	42.1%	0.381	0.72u	Won	+1.83u
Jul 7, 2017	mlb	Giants Marlins	First5 result	away	2.86	44.1%	0.166	0.24u	Won	+0.45u
Jul 7, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First5 result	away	2.49	47.5%	0.114	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jul 6, 2017	mlb	Indians Padres	First5 result	away	2.85	46.1%	0.221	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Jul 6, 2017	mlb	Twins Orioles	First5 result	away	2.58	47.2%	0.133	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 6, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Astros	First5 result	away	2.45	46.8%	0.081	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Jul 6, 2017	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	home	2.42	44.9%	0.087	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jul 6, 2017	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.65	44.9%	0.122	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jul 6, 2017	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	home	2.73	43.7%	0.193	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Jul 5, 2017	mlb	Indians Padres	First5 result	away	2.52	47.1%	0.110	0.12u	Won	+0.18u
Jul 5, 2017	mlb	Tigers Giants	First5 result	away	2.73	45.6%	0.172	0.21u	Won	+0.36u
Jul 5, 2017	mlb	Brewers Orioles	First5 result	away	2.83	47.3%	0.265	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Jul 5, 2017	mlb	Athletics White Sox	First5 result	away	2.75	44.0%	0.128	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Jul 5, 2017	mlb	Cubs Rays	First5 result	away	3.20	42.1%	0.271	0.36u	Won	+0.79u
Jul 5, 2017	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.15	46.7%	0.367	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jul 4, 2017	mlb	Cubs Rays	First5 result	away	2.90	49.9%	0.381	0.34u	Won	+0.65u
Jul 4, 2017	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.4%	0.285	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Jul 4, 2017	mlb	Rangers Red Sox	First5 result	away	4.00	44.9%	0.718	0.73u	Won	+2.19u
Jul 4, 2017	mlb	Mariners Royals	First5 result	away	3.90	43.6%	0.594	0.54u	Won	+1.57u
Jul 3, 2017	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	away	2.36	46.9%	0.083	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Jul 3, 2017	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	away	2.68	46.0%	0.124	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jul 3, 2017	mlb	Mariners Royals	First5 result	away	2.33	47.6%	0.090	0.54u	Won	+0.72u
Jul 2, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	home	2.30	47.8%	0.099	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Jul 2, 2017	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.44	47.3%	0.154	0.25u	Won	+0.36u
Jul 2, 2017	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	home	2.52	45.4%	0.144	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Jul 2, 2017	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	home	2.46	46.5%	0.145	0.23u	Won	+0.34u
Jul 2, 2017	mlb	Angels Mariners	First5 result	home	2.95	40.5%	0.196	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 2, 2017	mlb	Orioles Rays	First5 result	away	2.75	50.1%	0.306	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Jul 1, 2017	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	home	2.68	49.7%	0.333	0.62u	Won	+1.04u
Jul 1, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	home	2.49	47.7%	0.188	0.27u	Won	+0.40u
Jul 1, 2017	mlb	Tigers Indians	First5 result	home	2.88	45.7%	0.317	0.54u	Won	+1.02u
Jul 1, 2017	mlb	Orioles Rays	First5 result	away	2.68	48.6%	0.236	0.36u	Won	+0.60u
Jun 30, 2017	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	away	3.48	48.4%	0.610	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Jun 30, 2017	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	away	2.66	43.3%	0.142	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jun 30, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.65	45.7%	0.206	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Jun 30, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Nationals	First5 result	home	2.90	48.2%	0.399	0.51u	Won	+0.97u
Jun 30, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	home	2.28	48.1%	0.096	0.08u	Lost	-0.08u
Jun 29, 2017	mlb	Astros Athletics	First5 result	home	3.20	45.7%	0.462	0.49u	Won	+1.08u
Jun 29, 2017	mlb	Marlins Mets	First5 result	home	2.56	47.0%	0.203	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 29, 2017	mlb	Padres Braves	First5 result	away	2.83	46.2%	0.236	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Jun 29, 2017	mlb	Indians Rangers	First5 result	away	2.80	44.4%	0.200	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jun 29, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Twins	First5 result	away	3.40	46.5%	0.539	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 29, 2017	mlb	Angels Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.00	44.6%	0.280	0.23u	Won	+0.46u
Jun 28, 2017	mlb	Angels Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.60	45.6%	0.097	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Jun 28, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.36	49.1%	0.086	0.10u	Won	+0.14u
Jun 28, 2017	mlb	Padres Braves	First5 result	away	2.90	44.7%	0.229	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 28, 2017	mlb	Mariners Phillies	First5 result	away	2.70	48.6%	0.246	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 28, 2017	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	away	2.55	48.4%	0.126	0.15u	Won	+0.23u
Jun 28, 2017	mlb	White Sox Yankees	First5 result	away	3.05	49.0%	0.399	0.75u	Won	+1.54u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Astros Athletics	First5 result	away	2.75	43.6%	0.162	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	away	2.90	46.9%	0.273	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	away	2.82	47.6%	0.257	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Mariners Phillies	First5 result	away	2.61	44.6%	0.136	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Indians Rangers	First5 result	away	2.42	50.7%	0.116	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	White Sox Yankees	First5 result	away	2.60	43.1%	0.105	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jun 26, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	away	2.40	47.3%	0.065	0.06u	Lost	-0.06u
Jun 26, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First5 result	home	2.47	47.0%	0.160	0.21u	Won	+0.31u
Jun 26, 2017	mlb	Nationals Cubs	First5 result	away	3.00	48.8%	0.375	0.64u	Won	+1.28u
Jun 26, 2017	mlb	Indians Rangers	First5 result	away	3.00	44.0%	0.227	0.29u	Won	+0.58u
Jun 26, 2017	mlb	Giants Rockies	First5 result	away	2.90	48.4%	0.352	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 25, 2017	mlb	Marlins Cubs	First5 result	away	2.42	46.0%	0.076	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Jun 25, 2017	mlb	Padres Tigers	First5 result	away	2.55	43.6%	0.067	0.08u	Lost	-0.08u
Jun 25, 2017	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	away	3.15	48.8%	0.457	1.10u	Won	+2.37u
Jun 25, 2017	mlb	Royals Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.53	45.9%	0.094	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Jun 25, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Angels	First5 result	away	2.62	48.2%	0.191	0.32u	Won	+0.52u
Jun 25, 2017	mlb	Giants Mets	First5 result	home	2.30	46.1%	0.061	0.08u	Lost	-0.08u
Jun 24, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Angels	First5 result	away	2.47	49.8%	0.140	0.13u	Won	+0.19u
Jun 24, 2017	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	home	2.48	48.6%	0.206	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Jun 24, 2017	mlb	Indians Twins	First5 result	home	2.45	48.3%	0.183	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jun 24, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First5 result	away	3.30	39.2%	0.226	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jun 24, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First5 result	away	3.05	45.7%	0.359	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 24, 2017	mlb	Braves Brewers	First5 result	away	3.50	42.6%	0.444	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jun 23, 2017	mlb	Giants Mets	First5 result	away	3.20	40.4%	0.191	0.26u	Won	+0.57u
Jun 23, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First5 result	away	3.03	44.9%	0.313	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jun 23, 2017	mlb	Nationals Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.7%	0.280	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 23, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First5 result	away	2.51	48.3%	0.104	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Jun 23, 2017	mlb	Royals Blue Jays	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.1%	0.219	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Jun 23, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First5 result	away	2.50	47.0%	0.171	0.28u	Won	+0.42u
Jun 22, 2017	mlb	Marlins Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.4%	0.343	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Jun 22, 2017	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	home	2.22	48.4%	0.075	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Jun 22, 2017	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First5 result	home	2.35	45.8%	0.077	0.09u	Won	+0.12u
Jun 22, 2017	mlb	Yankees Angels	First5 result	away	3.55	45.7%	0.525	1.17u	Lost	-1.17u
Jun 21, 2017	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First5 result	away	3.00	46.3%	0.345	0.45u	Won	+0.90u
Jun 21, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First5 result	away	2.88	47.4%	0.278	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jun 21, 2017	mlb	Cubs Padres	First5 result	away	2.85	50.1%	0.285	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Jun 21, 2017	mlb	Braves Giants	First5 result	home	2.67	48.7%	0.302	0.40u	Won	+0.67u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.